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在判断和决策中,持续时间何时重要?

When does duration matter in judgment and decision making?

作者信息

Ariely D, Loewenstein G

机构信息

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 38 Memorial Drive, E56329, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142, USA.

出版信息

J Exp Psychol Gen. 2000 Dec;129(4):508-23. doi: 10.1037//0096-3445.129.4.508.

Abstract

Research on sequences of outcomes shows that people care about features of an experience, such as improvement or deterioration over time, and peak and end levels, which the discounted utility model (DU) assumes they do not care about. In contrast to the finding that some attributes are weighted more than DU predicts, Kahneman and coauthors have proposed that there is one feature of sequences that DU predicts people should care about but that people in fact ignore or underweight: duration. In this article, the authors extend this line of research by investigating the role of conversational norms (H. P. Grice, 1975), and scale-norming (D. Kahneman & T. D. Miller, 1986). The impact of these 2 factors are examined in 4 parallel studies that manipulate these factors orthogonally. The major finding is that response modes that reduce reliance on conversational norms or standard of comparison also increase the attention that participants pay to duration.

摘要

对结果序列的研究表明,人们关心体验的特征,比如随时间的改善或恶化,以及峰值和结束水平,而折扣效用模型(DU)假定人们并不关心这些。与某些属性被赋予的权重超过DU预测这一发现相反,卡尼曼及其合著者提出,序列有一个特征是DU预测人们应该关心的,但实际上人们却忽略或低估了这个特征:持续时间。在本文中,作者通过研究会话规范(H.P.格赖斯,1975)和量表规范(D.卡尼曼和T.D.米勒,1986)的作用来扩展这一研究方向。在4项平行研究中对这两个因素的影响进行了考察,这些研究对这些因素进行了正交操纵。主要发现是,减少对会话规范或比较标准依赖的反应模式也会增加参与者对持续时间的关注。

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