Wolfe F
National Data Bank for Rheumatic Diseases, Arthritis Research Center Foundation, and University of Kansas School of Medicine, Wichita, USA.
Arthritis Rheum. 2000 Dec;43(12):2751-61. doi: 10.1002/1529-0131(200012)43:12<2751::AID-ANR15>3.0.CO;2-6.
To investigate the course of self-reported disability in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) using the major self-report measure of functional impairment, the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ).
The course of HAQ disability was assessed in 32,525 observations (1,843 patients) in which the HAQ was administered. In addition, a subset of 2,189 visits from 50 patients, followed on average for 17 years, was studied to model the effect of disease duration on the course of HAQ disability in individual patients. Linear and fractional polynomial regression as well as smoothing algorithms were applied to the group of RA patients and then to the individual course of patients.
Group linear and nonlinear models of the effect of disease duration on HAQ disability were found to have 3 characteristics: 1) HAQ disability scores are high at disease onset rather than gradually increasing; 2) HAQ disability increases very slowly over time (0.03 units per year); and 3) all such models fit very poorly, explaining only 5% of the variance in HAQ disability scores. However, application of nonlinear models to individual patient courses (as opposed to groups of patients) explains 37% of the HAQ disability score variation. In some patients, the course of HAQ disability was either 1) chaotic (scores change without any pattern) or 2) determinable, but unrelated to time. When covariates were added to the group model, however, the course of HAQ disability became clearer, and 51% of the variance in the disability score could be explained, statistically, by pain, depression, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and disease duration.
Individual RA patients have differing, characterizable courses: 1) nonlinear, 2) chaotic, or 3) non-time determined. The model that self-reported physical disability, as measured by the HAQ, occurs as a function of disease acting over time does not fit the data well and is an inadequate model. This discrepancy may also be the result of the patient's upward reappraisal of functional ability with increasing time. The predominant determinants of HAQ disability in RA are disease activity, pain, and psychosocial factors rather than structural abnormality. Although the HAQ is a useful clinical tool and a central measure of disease outcome, it measures both process and outcome, and usually more process than outcome. Individual patient models that include all that is known about the patient--the paradigm of clinical care-may be a more effective way to examine the course of RA than are conventional group-based models.
使用功能损害的主要自我报告测量工具——健康评估问卷(HAQ),研究类风湿关节炎(RA)患者自我报告的残疾进程。
对32525次观察(1843例患者)中的HAQ残疾进程进行评估,这些观察中均进行了HAQ评估。此外,对50例患者的2189次就诊进行了研究,平均随访17年,以模拟疾病持续时间对个体患者HAQ残疾进程的影响。对类风湿关节炎患者群体以及个体患者进程应用线性和分数多项式回归以及平滑算法。
发现疾病持续时间对HAQ残疾影响的群体线性和非线性模型具有3个特征:1)HAQ残疾评分在疾病发作时较高,而非逐渐增加;2)HAQ残疾随时间增长非常缓慢(每年0.03个单位);3)所有此类模型拟合效果都很差,仅解释了HAQ残疾评分中5%的方差。然而,将非线性模型应用于个体患者进程(与患者群体相对)可解释37%的HAQ残疾评分变化。在一些患者中,HAQ残疾进程要么是1)混乱的(评分变化无任何规律),要么是2)可确定的,但与时间无关。然而,当在群体模型中加入协变量时,HAQ残疾进程变得更清晰,从统计学上看,残疾评分中51%的方差可由疼痛、抑郁、红细胞沉降率和疾病持续时间来解释。
个体类风湿关节炎患者有不同的、可描述的进程:1)非线性的,2)混乱的,或3)与时间无关的。通过HAQ测量的自我报告身体残疾是疾病随时间作用的函数这一模型与数据拟合不佳,是一个不充分的模型。这种差异也可能是患者随着时间推移对功能能力进行向上重新评估的结果。类风湿关节炎中HAQ残疾的主要决定因素是疾病活动、疼痛和心理社会因素,而非结构异常。虽然HAQ是一种有用的临床工具和疾病结局的核心测量指标,但它既测量过程也测量结局,而且通常测量过程多于结局。包含患者所有已知信息的个体患者模型——临床护理范式——可能是比传统基于群体的模型更有效的研究类风湿关节炎进程的方法。