Rushton L, Alderson M
Institute of Cancer Research, Sutton, Surrey, UK.
Carcinogenesis. 1980 Sep;1(9):739-43. doi: 10.1093/carcin/1.9.739.
This study describes the patterns of mortality of 35,000 male employees, with a minimum of 1 year's continuous service, who worked at 8 refineries in the UK in the period 1.1.50-31.10.75. The trace rate of those involved was 99.8%. Overall the ratio of observed to expected deaths was 0.84 (O = 4406, E = 5259.9, P < 0.00001). The numbers of deaths for many of the chronic degenerative diseases were lower than 'expected'. The number of observed deaths from all cancers was appreciably less than expected (O = 1147, E = 1286.4, O/E = 0.89, P = 0.00006). Lung cancer was particularly reduced (O = 416, E = 532.7, O/E = 0.78, P < 0.00001); there was no excess of leukaemia (in workers including some exposed to benzene). Other comparable studies have suggested an excess of gastrointestinal cancer. In the present study deaths from oesophageal, stomach, intestinal and rectal cancer were slightly raised for all workers (O = 346, E = 328.6, O/E = 1.05, P < 0.4); this was particularly noticeable for those joining before 1950 with long service and with increased latent interval. There were also excesses based on small numbers of deaths from nasal cancer (O = 7, E = 3.1, O/E = 2.24, P < 0.05), and melanoma (O = 14, E = 6.5, O/E = 2.16, P 0.01).
本研究描述了35000名男性雇员的死亡模式,这些雇员在英国8家炼油厂工作,连续服务至少1年,研究时间段为1950年1月1日至1975年10月31日。参与研究人员的追踪率为99.8%。总体而言,观察到的死亡人数与预期死亡人数之比为0.84(观察到的死亡人数O = 4406,预期死亡人数E = 5259.9,P < 0.00001)。许多慢性退行性疾病的死亡人数低于“预期”。所有癌症的观察到的死亡人数明显少于预期(O = 1147,E = 1286.4,O/E = 0.89,P = 0.00006)。肺癌尤其减少(O = 416,E = 532.7,O/E = 0.78,P < 0.00001);白血病没有超额(在包括一些接触苯的工人中)。其他类似研究表明胃肠道癌症有超额情况。在本研究中,所有工人的食管癌、胃癌、肠癌和直肠癌死亡人数略有增加(O = 346,E = 328.6,O/E = 1.05,P < 0.4);这在1950年前入职且服务年限长、潜伏期增加的工人中尤为明显。基于少量鼻癌死亡人数(O = 7,E = 3.1,O/E = 2.24,P < 0.05)和黑色素瘤死亡人数(O = 14,E = 6.5,O/E = 2.16,P = 0.01)也有超额情况。