Ross A M, Kai J, Salter R, Ross J, Fleming D M
Royal College of General Practitioners, Birmingham Research Unit.
Commun Dis Public Health. 2000 Dec;3(4):256-60.
General practitioners in the Midlands Research Practice Consortium (MidReC), combined list size 140,000, completed questionnaires about 918 patients in whom they had made working diagnoses of influenza-like illness during an outbreak of influenza A H3N2 from 1 December 1999 to 4 February 2000. Adults, more females than males consulted most, reflecting the age and sex distribution reported to the Royal College of General Practitioners Weekly Returns Service. Illness at presentation was considered severe in 4%, moderately severe in 49%, mild in 45%, and asymptomatic (for example, attended for certificates) in 1% of patients. In seven tenths of patients, the practitioner estimated that the likelihood of influenza was 70% or more and in just over half, 80% or more. Half of patients aged over 75 years were seen at home, but only 7% of those under 55 years. Less than a quarter of patients consulted within two days of having become ill, with the highest consultation frequency on the third and fourth days. Preschool children presented earliest: 75% were seen within two days, compared with only 17% of adults over 75 years. Four fifths of patients were seen on the same day as they contacted the practice, and 12% on the following day. Given the brief time window for effective antiviral treatment, only a small proportion of patients are likely to be prescribed these drugs unless consulting behaviour, especially in elderly people, changes considerably.
中部地区研究实践联盟(MidReC)的全科医生,其综合名单规模为14万,对1999年12月1日至2000年2月4日甲型H3N2流感暴发期间他们做出流感样疾病初步诊断的918例患者完成了问卷调查。成年人中,女性就诊人数多于男性,这反映了向皇家全科医师学院每周回报服务报告的年龄和性别分布情况。就诊时,4%的患者病情被认为严重,49%为中度严重,45%为轻度,1%为无症状(例如,为开具证明而来就诊)。十分之七的患者中,医生估计患流感的可能性为70%或更高,略超过一半的患者为80%或更高。75岁以上的患者中有一半是在家中接受诊治的,但55岁以下的患者中这一比例仅为7%。不到四分之一的患者在发病后两天内就诊,就诊频率最高的是在第三天和第四天。学龄前儿童就诊最早:75%在两天内就诊,而75岁以上的成年人中只有17%。五分之四 的患者在联系诊所当天就得到诊治,12%在第二天。鉴于有效抗病毒治疗的时间窗口较短,除非就诊行为,尤其是老年人的就诊行为有很大改变,否则只有一小部分患者可能会被开这些药。