Goodman C A, Mnzava A E, Dlamini S S, Sharp B L, Mthembu D J, Gumede J K
Health Policy Unit, Department of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Trop Med Int Health. 2001 Apr;6(4):280-95. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.2001.00700.x.
Residual house-spraying (RHS) has been the mainstay of South African malaria prevention for more than 50 years, but it has been argued that insecticide-treated bednets (ITBN) could be a more effective and appropriate method of control. To provide a rational basis for choosing between the interventions, a trial was conducted during 1998 and 1999 in northern KwaZulu-Natal to collect comparable data on the effectiveness, acceptability and cost of the two interventions. The current practice of house-spraying once a year was compared with ITBN, distributed free to households and retreated annually at several specific centres. The base case results show ITBN to be significantly more effective in preventing malaria cases than RHS (overall adjusted rate ratio of 0.69), and also more costly, with an incremental economic cost per person of ITBN compared with RHS of R8.68 (US$1.42) per year, giving a gross incremental cost per case averted of R111 ($18) (1999 prices). Estimating the number of deaths averted, based on the average case fatality rate, gave a gross incremental cost per death averted of R11 718 ($1915). The additional cases averted were estimated to lead to drug cost savings of around R1 ($0.16) per capita per year, giving a net cost per case averted of R98 ($16), and net cost per death averted of R10 377 ($1696). Although the finding that the economic costs of ITBN were higher than those for RHS was relatively robust to parameter variations, the extent of the cost margin was sensitive to changes in the price and useful life of the net, and the price of the insecticide. Moreover, a switch to ITBN could lead to net financial savings if the price per net fell below $3.57 (R21.85), or if a change in policy allowed a significant reduction in the number of permanent full-time malaria control staff. In view of the greater effectiveness of ITBN, policy makers may view ITBN as a cost-effective use of resources, even if the economic costs are higher. If ITBN are implemented, close monitoring will be required of use, retreatment and useful life of nets, and resistance to insecticides, to assess any change over time in relative cost-effectiveness, and any threat to the role of the programme as a barrier to the spread of malaria transmission to other areas.
残留房屋喷洒(RHS)五十多年来一直是南非疟疾预防的主要手段,但有人认为,经杀虫剂处理的蚊帐(ITBN)可能是一种更有效且合适的防控方法。为了在这两种干预措施之间做出选择提供合理依据,1998年至1999年在夸祖鲁 - 纳塔尔省北部进行了一项试验,以收集关于这两种干预措施的有效性、可接受性和成本的可比数据。将每年进行一次房屋喷洒的现行做法与免费分发给家庭并在几个特定中心每年重新处理的ITBN进行了比较。基础案例结果表明,ITBN在预防疟疾病例方面比RHS显著更有效(总体调整率比为0.69),而且成本也更高,与RHS相比,ITBN每人每年的增量经济成本为8.68兰特(1.42美元),每避免一例病例的总增量成本为111兰特(18美元)(1999年价格)。根据平均病死率估算避免的死亡人数,得出每避免一例死亡的总增量成本为11718兰特(1915美元)。估计避免的额外病例每年可节省约1兰特(0.16美元)的人均药物成本,得出每避免一例病例的净成本为98兰特(16美元),每避免一例死亡的净成本为10377兰特(1696美元)。尽管ITBN的经济成本高于RHS这一发现对参数变化相对稳健,但成本差距的程度对蚊帐价格和使用寿命以及杀虫剂价格的变化很敏感。此外,如果每顶蚊帐价格降至3.57美元(21.85兰特)以下,或者政策变化允许大幅减少长期全职疟疾防控人员数量,转向ITBN可能会带来净财务节省。鉴于ITBN更有效,政策制定者可能会将ITBN视为资源的成本效益利用方式,即使经济成本更高。如果实施ITBN,将需要密切监测蚊帐的使用、重新处理和使用寿命以及对杀虫剂的抗性,以评估相对成本效益随时间的任何变化,以及该计划作为疟疾传播扩散到其他地区的障碍所发挥的作用面临的任何威胁。