Sumpter D J, Broomhead D S
Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester Institute of Science and Technology, UK.
Proc Biol Sci. 2001 May 7;268(1470):925-32. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2001.1604.
How do the behavioural interactions between individuals in an ecological system produce the global population dynamics of that system? We present a stochastic individual-based model of the reproductive cycle of the mite Varroa jacobsoni, a parasite of honeybees. The model has the interesting property in that its population level behaviour is approximated extremely accurately by the exponential logistic equation or Ricker map. We demonstrated how this approximation is obtained mathematically and how the parameters of the exponential logistic equation can be written in terms of the parameters of the individual-based model. Our procedure demonstrates, in at least one case, how study of animal ecology at an individual level can be used to derive global models which predict population change over time.
生态系统中个体间的行为相互作用是如何产生该系统的全球种群动态的?我们提出了一个基于个体的随机模型,用于模拟蜜蜂寄生虫雅氏瓦螨的繁殖周期。该模型具有一个有趣的特性,即其种群水平行为可以由指数逻辑方程或里克特映射极其精确地近似。我们展示了如何通过数学方法获得这种近似,以及指数逻辑方程的参数如何根据基于个体的模型的参数来表示。我们的方法至少在一个案例中证明了,个体水平的动物生态学研究如何能够用于推导预测种群随时间变化的全球模型。