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科和属的周期性灭绝。

Periodic extinction of families and genera.

作者信息

Raup D M, Sepkoski J J

机构信息

Department of Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, IL 60637, USA.

出版信息

Science. 1986 Feb 21;231:833-6. doi: 10.1126/science.11542060.

Abstract

Eight major episodes of biological extinction of marine families over the past 250 million years stand significantly above local background (P < 0.05). These events are more pronounced when analyzed at the level of genus, and generic data exhibit additional apparent extinction events in the Aptian (Cretaceous) and Pliocene (Tertiary) Stages. Time-series analysis of these records strongly suggests a 26-million-year periodicity. This conclusion is robust even when adjusted for simultaneous testing of many trial periods. When the time series is limited to the four best-dated events (Cenomanian, Maestrichtian, upper Eocene, and middle Miocene), the hypothesis of randomness is also rejected for the 26-million-year period (P < 0.0002).

摘要

在过去的2.5亿年里,海洋生物科的八次重大灭绝事件显著高于当地背景水平(P < 0.05)。当在属的层面进行分析时,这些事件更为明显,并且属的数据显示在阿普特阶(白垩纪)和上新世(第三纪)阶段还有其他明显的灭绝事件。对这些记录进行时间序列分析强烈表明存在2600万年的周期性。即使针对许多试验期进行同时检验进行调整,这一结论依然可靠。当时间序列仅限于四个年代测定最准确的事件(森诺曼阶、马斯特里赫特阶上始新世和中中新世)时,对于2600万年的周期,随机性假设也被拒绝(P < 0.0002)。

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