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国际放射防护委员会(ICRP)66号呼吸道模型中参数不确定性的影响:颗粒沉积

Influences of parameter uncertainties within the ICRP 66 respiratory tract model: particle deposition.

作者信息

Bolch W E, Farfán E B, Huh C, Huston T E, Bolch W E

机构信息

Department of Nuclear and Radiological Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611-8300, USA.

出版信息

Health Phys. 2001 Oct;81(4):378-94. doi: 10.1097/00004032-200110000-00003.

Abstract

Risk assessment associated with the inhalation of radioactive aerosols requires as an initial step the determination of particle deposition within the various anatomic regions of the respiratory tract. The model outlined in ICRP Publication 66 represents to date one of the most complete overall descriptions of not only particle deposition, but of particle clearance and local radiation dosimetry of lung tissues. In this study, a systematic review of the deposition component within the ICRP 66 respiratory tract model was conducted in which probability density functions were assigned to all input parameters. These distributions were subsequently incorporated within a computer code LUDUC (LUng Dose Uncertainty Code) in which Latin hypercube sampling techniques are used to generate multiple (e.g., 1,000) sets of input vectors (i.e., trials) for all of the model parameters needed to assess particle deposition within the extrathoracic (anterior and posterior), bronchial, bronchiolar, and alveolar-interstitial regions of the ICRP 66 respiratory tract model. Particle deposition values for the various trial simulations were shown to be well described by lognormal probability distributions. Geometric mean deposition fractions from LUDUC were found to be within approximately +/- 10% of the single-value estimates from the LUDEP computer code for each anatomic region and for particle diameters ranging from 0.001 to 50 microm. In all regions of the respiratory tract, LUDUC simulations for an adult male at light exertion show that uncertainties in particle deposition fractions are distributed only over a range of about a factor of approximately 2-4 for particle sizes between 0.005 to 0.2 microm. Below 0.005 microm, uncertainties increase only for deposition within the alveolar region. At particle sizes exceeding 1 microm, uncertainties in the deposition fraction within the extrathoracic regions are relatively small, but approach a factor of 20 for deposition in the bronchial region. Deposition fractions for particles above 1 microm become very uncertain within the deeper regions of the lungs (bronchiolar and alveolar-interstitial).

摘要

与吸入放射性气溶胶相关的风险评估,首先需要确定呼吸道各个解剖区域内的颗粒沉积情况。国际放射防护委员会(ICRP)第66号出版物中概述的模型,是迄今为止对颗粒沉积、颗粒清除以及肺组织局部辐射剂量测定最完整的总体描述之一。在本研究中,对ICRP 66呼吸道模型中的沉积部分进行了系统回顾,为所有输入参数分配了概率密度函数。这些分布随后被纳入计算机代码LUDUC(肺部剂量不确定性代码),其中使用拉丁超立方抽样技术为评估ICRP 66呼吸道模型的胸外(前部和后部)、支气管、细支气管和肺泡-间质区域内颗粒沉积所需的所有模型参数生成多个(例如1000个)输入向量集(即试验)。各种试验模拟的颗粒沉积值显示,可用对数正态概率分布很好地描述。发现LUDUC的几何平均沉积分数,对于每个解剖区域以及直径范围从0.001到50微米的颗粒,与LUDEP计算机代码的单值估计值大约在±10%以内。在呼吸道的所有区域,对轻度运动的成年男性进行的LUDUC模拟表明,对于0.005至0.2微米之间的颗粒尺寸,颗粒沉积分数的不确定性仅分布在约2至4倍的范围内。低于0.005微米时,不确定性仅在肺泡区域的沉积中增加。在颗粒尺寸超过1微米时,胸外区域沉积分数的不确定性相对较小,但支气管区域的沉积不确定性接近20倍。对于大于1微米的颗粒,在肺部较深区域(细支气管和肺泡-间质)的沉积分数变得非常不确定。

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