Scheffer M, Carpenter S, Foley J A, Folke C, Walker B
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 8080, NL-6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Nature. 2001 Oct 11;413(6856):591-6. doi: 10.1038/35098000.
All ecosystems are exposed to gradual changes in climate, nutrient loading, habitat fragmentation or biotic exploitation. Nature is usually assumed to respond to gradual change in a smooth way. However, studies on lakes, coral reefs, oceans, forests and arid lands have shown that smooth change can be interrupted by sudden drastic switches to a contrasting state. Although diverse events can trigger such shifts, recent studies show that a loss of resilience usually paves the way for a switch to an alternative state. This suggests that strategies for sustainable management of such ecosystems should focus on maintaining resilience.
所有生态系统都面临着气候、养分负荷、栖息地破碎化或生物开发利用方面的逐渐变化。通常认为自然界会以平稳的方式应对逐渐变化。然而,对湖泊、珊瑚礁、海洋、森林和干旱地区的研究表明,平稳变化可能会被突然急剧转变为截然不同的状态所打断。尽管多种事件都可能引发这种转变,但最近的研究表明,恢复力的丧失通常为转变到另一种状态铺平了道路。这表明,此类生态系统可持续管理的策略应侧重于维持恢复力。