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[因果关系与流行病学]

[Causality and epidemiology].

作者信息

Barradas Barata R

机构信息

Department of Social Medicine, School of Medical Sciences, São Paulo.

出版信息

Hist Cienc Saude Manguinhos. 1997;4(1):31-49.

Abstract

In examining the issue of causality within epidemiology, the text begins with a brief historical overview that reclaims the different meanings which the West's main philosophers have lent to this concept. It next delves into the historical roots of epidemiology as a scientific discipline and the transformations the concept of cause has undergone within this realm. With these presuppositions in place, the text goes on to analyze the 20th century development of epidemiology and the crisis it currently faces in terms of paradigm. Three alternatives are explored as ways out of this crisis: social epidemiology, Popperian criticism, and the contributions of molecular biology. Lastly, the text discusses the need for a new epidemiological theory grounded on the theory of complexity.

摘要

在审视流行病学中的因果关系问题时,本文开篇进行了简要的历史概述,梳理了西方主要哲学家赋予这一概念的不同含义。接下来深入探讨了流行病学作为一门科学学科的历史根源,以及病因概念在这一领域所经历的转变。基于这些前提,本文进而分析了流行病学在20世纪的发展以及它目前在范式方面所面临的危机。探讨了三种摆脱这一危机的途径:社会流行病学、波普尔式批判以及分子生物学的贡献。最后,本文讨论了基于复杂性理论构建新的流行病学理论的必要性。

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