Rubin R J, Gregg M B
Am J Epidemiol. 1975 Sep;102(3):225-32. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112151.
Individual cases of influenza are not reported nationally to the Center for Disease Control (CDC). Other methods of surveillance, therefore, must be used to estimate the extent and impact of influenza in the country. In the past, CDC has performed telephone surveys during the respiratory season and tabulated mortality due to pneumonia and influenza from 121 cities. The telephone data vary considerably from state to state and are only a general assessment of influenza activity. Tabulation of influenza-pneumonia deaths reflects more accurately the extent and impact of influenza but suffers from a 3-4 week-lag behind the actual clinical events. To improve influenza surveillance over the past 2 years, CDC obtained weekly numbers of emergency room visits to large community hospitals, school and industrial absenteeism, numbers of specimens submitted and numbers positive for influenza isolation from laboratories throughout the United States. Surveillance was most effective in large urban areas of the US where community hospital emergency rooms function as private physicians. Where people are more likely to consult a private physician than utilize a hospital emergency room, the correlation between private physician visits and influenza was good. Furthermore, school and industrial absenteeism are not very sensitive indicators of influenza-A activity; however, school absenteeism was a good index of influenza-B activity.
全国不会向疾病控制中心(CDC)报告个别流感病例。因此,必须采用其他监测方法来估计该国流感的范围和影响。过去,疾病控制中心在呼吸道疾病季节进行电话调查,并统计121个城市因肺炎和流感导致的死亡率。电话调查数据在各州之间差异很大,只是对流感活动的大致评估。流感 - 肺炎死亡人数的统计能更准确地反映流感的范围和影响,但比实际临床事件滞后3至4周。在过去两年中,为了改进流感监测,疾病控制中心获取了美国各地大型社区医院每周的急诊就诊人数、学校和企业的缺勤人数、送检标本数量以及实验室流感分离阳性数量。在美国的大型城市地区,监测最为有效,因为社区医院急诊室起到了私人医生的作用。在人们更倾向于咨询私人医生而非前往医院急诊室的地方,私人医生就诊与流感之间的相关性良好。此外,学校和企业的缺勤并不是甲型流感活动的非常敏感的指标;然而,学校缺勤是乙型流感活动的良好指标。