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针对罕见个体的抽样策略与统计

Strategies and statistics of sampling for rare individuals.

作者信息

Venette Robert C, Moon Roger D, Hutchison William D

机构信息

USDA-APHIS, University of Minnesota, 1980 Folwell Ave., St. Paul, Minnesota 55108, USA.

出版信息

Annu Rev Entomol. 2002;47:143-74. doi: 10.1146/annurev.ento.47.091201.145147.

Abstract

Diverse subdisciplines within entomology recognize the detection of rare individuals as the precursor to effective management of these individuals. Unfortunately, detection methods have often developed on a case-by-case basis, and advances in one subdiscipline have not carried over to similarly related fields. The biology of a particular organism will certainly affect sampling methods, but the underlying principles governing the power of a sampling strategy to detect rare individuals will apply across taxa. Our review of the sampling literature demonstrates the common problem of detecting rare individuals, reviews the fundamentals of probability theory as a foundation for any monitoring program, and discusses the inferences that can be drawn from samples, especially when resources limit sampling efforts. Particular emphasis is placed on binomial-, beta-binomial-, and hypergeometric-based sampling strategies as they pertain to quarantine inspections for exotic pests, veterinary/medical entomology, and insecticide resistance monitoring.

摘要

昆虫学的各个子学科都认识到,发现珍稀个体是有效管理这些个体的前提。不幸的是,检测方法往往是根据具体情况逐个开发的,一个子学科的进展并未推广到类似相关领域。特定生物体的生物学特性肯定会影响采样方法,但决定采样策略检测珍稀个体能力的基本原理适用于所有分类群。我们对采样文献的综述揭示了发现珍稀个体这一常见问题,回顾了概率论的基本原理作为任何监测计划的基础,并讨论了从样本中可以得出的推论,尤其是在资源限制采样工作的情况下。特别强调了基于二项式、贝塔 - 二项式和超几何分布的采样策略,因为它们适用于外来害虫的检疫检查、兽医/医学昆虫学以及杀虫剂抗性监测。

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