Kendall W L, Bjorkland R
USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland 20708, USA.
Biometrics. 2001 Dec;57(4):1113-22. doi: 10.1111/j.0006-341x.2001.01113.x.
Capture-recapture studies are crucial in many circumstances for estimating demographic parameters for wildlife and fish populations. Pollock's robust design, involving multiple sampling occasions per period of interest, provides several advantages over classical approaches. This includes the ability to estimate the probability of being present and available for detection, which in some situations is equivalent to breeding probability. We present a model for estimating availability for detection that relaxes two assumptions required in previous approaches. The first is that the sampled population is closed to additions and deletions across samples within a period of interest. The second is that each member of the population has the same probability of being available for detection in a given period. We apply our model to estimate survival and breeding probability in a study of hawksbill sea turtles (Eretmochelys imbricata), where previous approaches are not appropriate.
捕获再捕获研究在许多情况下对于估计野生动物和鱼类种群的人口统计学参数至关重要。波洛克的稳健设计,即在每个感兴趣的时期进行多次抽样,与传统方法相比具有几个优势。这包括能够估计被发现的存在概率和可检测性,在某些情况下这等同于繁殖概率。我们提出了一个用于估计可检测性的模型,该模型放宽了先前方法中所需的两个假设。第一个假设是在感兴趣的时期内,抽样种群对于样本之间的增减是封闭的。第二个假设是种群中的每个成员在给定时期内被检测到的概率相同。我们将我们的模型应用于玳瑁海龟(蠵龟)的一项研究中,以估计其生存和繁殖概率,而先前的方法并不适用。