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乳腺钼靶筛查:没有可靠的支持证据?

Mammographic screening: no reliable supporting evidence?

作者信息

Miettinen Olli S, Henschke Claudia I, Pasmantier Mark W, Smith James P, Libby Daniel M, Yankelevitz David F

出版信息

Lancet. 2002 Feb 2;359(9304):404-5. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)07592-X.

Abstract

Much confusion is being generated by the conclusion of a recent review that "there is no reliable evidence that screening for breast cancer reduces mortality." In that review, however, there was no appreciation of the appropriate mortality-related measure of screening's usefulness; and correspondingly, there was no estimation of the magnitude of this measure. We take this measure to be the proportional reduction in case-fatality rate, and studied its magnitude on the basis of the only valid and otherwise suitable trial. We found reliable evidence of fatality reduction, apparently substantial in magnitude.

摘要

最近一篇综述得出“没有可靠证据表明乳腺癌筛查能降低死亡率”的结论,这引发了诸多困惑。然而,在该综述中,并未正确认识到与死亡率相关的衡量筛查有效性的恰当指标;相应地,也未对该指标的大小进行估计。我们将此指标视为病例死亡率的成比例降低,并基于唯一有效且合适的试验研究了其大小。我们发现了死亡率降低的可靠证据,其幅度显然很大。

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