Christophersen A S, Skurtveit S, Grung M, Mørland J
National Institute of Forensic Toxicology, PO Box 495 Sentrum, 0105, Oslo, Norway.
Drug Alcohol Depend. 2002 Mar 1;66(1):85-92. doi: 10.1016/s0376-8716(01)00187-9.
The rearrest rates among Norwegian drugged (n=1102) and a group of drunken drivers (n=850) (BAC: 0.16-0.19%) apprehended during 1992, were 57% (n=629) and 28% (n=238), respectively, when followed prospectively for 7 years. The most important risk factors for recidivism among drugged drivers were previous arrests for drugged or drunken driving (rearrest rate among previous arrests: 73%, no previous arrest: 42%), multi-drug detection at selection (multi-drug: 62%, single drug: 41%), sex (male: 61%, female: 35%) and age (below 36 years: 60%, 36 years and older: 44%). Most of the recidivist drugged drivers were rearrested during the year of selection (21%), followed by 13, 7 and 6%, retrospectively, during the following years. When followed both retrospectively and prospectively for a period extending from 1984 to 1998, 71% (n=779) and 40% (n=344) of the selected drugged and drunken drivers, respectively, were arrested two or more times.
1992年被逮捕的挪威吸毒驾车者(n = 1102)和一群醉酒驾车者(n = 850,血液酒精浓度:0.16 - 0.19%)在接受7年的前瞻性随访时,再次被捕率分别为57%(n = 629)和28%(n = 238)。吸毒驾车者再次犯罪的最重要风险因素包括曾因吸毒或醉酒驾车被捕(曾被捕者的再次被捕率:73%,未曾被捕者:42%)、筛选时检测出多种毒品(多种毒品:62%,单一毒品:41%)、性别(男性:61%,女性:35%)和年龄(36岁以下:60%,36岁及以上:44%)。大多数再次犯罪的吸毒驾车者在筛选当年再次被捕(21%),随后几年的再次被捕率分别为13%、7%和6%。从1984年到1998年进行回顾性和前瞻性随访时,所选吸毒驾车者和醉酒驾车者中分别有71%(n = 779)和40%(n = 344)被逮捕两次或更多次。