Willems P, Berlamont J
Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Hydraulics Laboratory, Belgium.
Water Sci Technol. 2002;45(3):117-24.
The impact of the combined urban drainage and WWTP system of the village of Dessel (Belgium) on the Witte Nete receiving water is modelled both in terms of emissions and immissions. The hydrodynamic and water quality modelling is performed both in a deterministic and probabilistic way. For the deterministic modelling, detailed physically based and simplified conceptual models are used in a complementary way. In the probabilistic modelling, the different uncertainties in the deterministic model are classified in input uncertainties, parameter uncertainties and model-structure uncertainties. The probabilistic simulation results can be used in risk analysis and management, for the determination of the major uncertainty-sources and priorities in model improvement, for model bias elimination and for efficient model calibration.
比利时德塞尔村的城市排水与污水处理厂联合系统对维特内特纳受纳水体的影响，从排放和接收两方面进行了建模。水动力和水质建模采用了确定性和概率性两种方法。对于确定性建模，以互补的方式使用了基于物理的详细模型和简化的概念模型。在概率性建模中，确定性模型中的不同不确定性被分类为输入不确定性、参数不确定性和模型结构不确定性。概率性模拟结果可用于风险分析和管理、确定模型改进中的主要不确定性来源和优先级、消除模型偏差以及进行有效的模型校准。
