McMichael Anthony J
National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, 0200, Canberra ACT, Australia.
Lancet. 2002 Mar 30;359(9312):1145-8. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)08164-3.
Societies are exploring what sustainable development means for development choices. Increasingly, we recognise that human population health is not just an input to socioeconomic development, but is an essential outcome, and, over time, a marker of sustainability. There has been recent attention to how stocks of social and human capital precondition gains in population health. However, recognition of how environmental change can limit health and survival has been slower. Over many millennia, disease and longevity profiles in populations have reflected changes in environmental conditions and, often, excedances of carrying capacity. Today, population growth and the aggregated pressures of consumption and emissions are beginning to impair various global environmental systems. The research tasks in detecting, attributing, and projecting the resultant health effects are complex. Have recent health gains, in part, depended on depleting natural environmental capital? Population health sciences have a crucial contribution to make to the sustainability project.
各个社会都在探索可持续发展对发展选择意味着什么。我们越来越认识到，人口健康不仅是社会经济发展的一个要素，而且是一个至关重要的成果，并且随着时间的推移，还是可持续性的一个标志。最近人们关注社会资本和人力资本存量如何为人口健康的改善创造前提条件。然而，对环境变化如何能够限制健康和生存的认识却较为滞后。在数千年的时间里，人群中的疾病和长寿状况反映了环境条件的变化，而且往往反映了承载能力的超限情况。如今，人口增长以及消费和排放的综合压力正开始损害各种全球环境系统。检测、归因和预测由此产生的健康影响的研究任务十分复杂。近期的健康改善在一定程度上是否依赖于消耗自然环境资本呢？人口健康科学对可持续发展项目可作出至关重要的贡献。
