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高铁与新融合地区结核病传播的关联:来自中国的准实验证据。

Association of High-Speed Rail and Tuberculosis Transmission in Newly Integrated Regions: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from China.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China.

School of Public Administration, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Int J Public Health. 2021 Nov 11;66:1604090. doi: 10.3389/ijph.2021.1604090. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The spread of tuberculosis (TB) is related to changes in the social network among the population and people's social interactions. High-speed railway (HSR) fundamentally changed the integrated market across cities in China. This paper aims to examine the impact of HSR on TB transmission in newly integrated areas. By exploiting the opening and operation of the first HSR in Sichuan province as a quasi-natural experiment, we have collected and used the economic, social, and demographic data of 183 counties in Sichuan province from 2013 to 2016. The new HSR line is associated with a 4.790 increase in newly diagnosed smear-positive TB cases per 100,000 people among newly integrated areas. On average, an additional increase of 34.178 newly diagnosed smear-positive TB cases occur every year in counties (or districts) covered by the new HSR. HSR development has significantly contributed to the transmission of TB. The public health system in China needs to pay more attention to the influences of new, mass public transportation.

摘要

结核病(TB)的传播与人群社会网络的变化和人们的社会互动有关。高速铁路(HSR)从根本上改变了中国城市间的综合市场。本文旨在探讨 HSR 对新融合地区 TB 传播的影响。通过利用四川省第一条 HSR 的开通和运营作为准自然实验,我们收集并使用了 2013 年至 2016 年四川省 183 个县的经济、社会和人口数据。新的 HSR 线路与新融合地区每 10 万人中新诊断出的涂片阳性 TB 病例增加了 4.790 例。平均而言,新 HSR 覆盖的县(区)每年新增 34.178 例新诊断的涂片阳性 TB 病例。HSR 的发展显著促进了结核病的传播。中国的公共卫生系统需要更加关注新的大众交通工具的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c23a/8613004/636a9326cd1f/ijph-66-1604090-g001.jpg

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