Macek Mark D, Manski Richard J, Vargas Clemencia M, Moeller John F
Department of Oral Health Care Delivery, Baltimore College of Dental Surgery Dental School, University of Maryland, 21201, USA.
Health Serv Res. 2002 Apr;37(2):499-521. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.034.
To compare estimates of dental visits among adults using three national surveys.
DATA SOURCES/STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), and National Health Expenditure surveys (NMCES, NMES, MEPS).
This secondary data analysis assessed whether overall estimates and stratum-specific trends are different across surveys.
Dental visit data are age standardized via the direct method to the 1990 population of the United States. Point estimates, standard errors, and test statistics are generated using SUDAAN.
Sociodemographic, stratum-specific trends are generally consistent across surveys; however, overall estimates differ (NHANES III [364-day estimate] versus 1993 NHIS: -17.5 percent difference, Z = 7.27, p value < 0.001; NHANES III [365-day estimate] vs. 1993 NHIS: 5.4 percent difference, Z = -2.50, p value = 0.006; MEPS vs. 1993 NHIS: -29.8 percent difference, Z = 16.71, p value < 0.001). MEPS is the least susceptible to intrusion, telescoping, and social desirability.
Possible explanations for discrepancies include different reference periods, lead-in statements, question format, and social desirability of responses. Choice of survey should depend on the hypothesis. If trends are necessary, choice of survey should not matter however, if health status or expenditure associations are necessary, then surveys that contain these variables should be used, and if accurate overall estimates are necessary, then MEPS should be used. A validation study should be conducted to establish "true" utilization estimates.
使用三项全国性调查比较成年人牙科就诊情况的估计值。
数据来源/研究设计:来自国家健康访谈调查(NHIS)、国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)以及国家卫生支出调查(NMCES、NMES、MEPS)的横断面数据。
这项二次数据分析评估了各项调查的总体估计值和特定分层趋势是否存在差异。
牙科就诊数据通过直接法按年龄标准化为1990年美国人口数据。使用SUDAAN生成点估计值、标准误差和检验统计量。
社会人口统计学方面,特定分层趋势在各项调查中总体一致;然而,总体估计值存在差异(NHANES III[364天估计值]与1993年NHIS:差异为-17.5%,Z = 7.27,p值<0.001;NHANES III[365天估计值]与1993年NHIS:差异为5.4%,Z = -2.50,p值 = 0.006;MEPS与1993年NHIS:差异为-29.8%,Z = 16.71,p值<0.001)。MEPS受回忆偏倚、时间压缩和社会期望性的影响最小。
差异的可能解释包括不同的参考期、引导性陈述、问题格式以及回答的社会期望性。调查的选择应取决于假设。如果需要趋势数据,调查的选择无关紧要;然而,如果需要健康状况或支出关联数据,那么应使用包含这些变量的调查;如果需要准确的总体估计值,那么应使用MEPS。应进行验证研究以确定“真实”的使用估计值。