Ermisch J F
J Popul Econ. 1989 Sep;2(2):79-102. doi: 10.1007/BF00522403.
This paper develops a model of family size decisions in which couples choose explicitly a combination of mother's time and purchased childcare (childminder, nanies) for the care and rearing of children. The theoretical model implies that the impact of the mother's wage on her complete fertility varies with the market price of childcare, and that this effect increases (becoming less negative or more positive) with the level of her wage. Econometric analysis of British micro-data confirms the main predictions of the model.
本文构建了一个家庭规模决策模型,在该模型中,夫妻明确选择母亲的时间投入与购买的儿童照料服务(儿童保育员、保姆)相结合的方式来照顾和抚养孩子。理论模型表明,母亲工资对其总生育率的影响会因儿童照料服务的市场价格而有所不同,并且这种影响会随着她工资水平的提高而增强(变得不那么负面或更正面)。对英国微观数据的计量经济学分析证实了该模型的主要预测。