Ford K
Int Migr Rev. 1990 Spring;24(1):34-68.
"This paper analyzes census data on the fertility of U.S. immigrants to study trends in fertility after migration. The results showed that immigrant fertility may rise after arrival in the new country perhaps because immigrants are making up for births or marriages that may have been postponed due to the move. After a period of time, the fertility of immigrants may fall and as immigrants become more assimilated to the new country their fertility may come to be similar to cohorts of longer duration. These relationships were examined in a multivariate context so that variations between groups in socioeconomic status, fertility in the country of origin, age and marital status could be controlled. Relationships were studied for all U.S. immigrants as well as for subgroups defined by country or region of origin. The results indicate that simple measures of immigrant fertility that do not consider duration of residence are likely to be misleading if used to draw conclusions about the fertility impacts of immigration and advisable policy interventions."
本文分析了美国移民生育率的人口普查数据,以研究移民后生育率的趋势。结果表明,移民抵达新国家后生育率可能会上升,这可能是因为移民正在弥补因迁移而可能推迟的生育或婚姻。一段时间后,移民的生育率可能会下降,并且随着移民更好地融入新国家,他们的生育率可能会与居住时间更长的人群相似。这些关系在多变量背景下进行了研究,以便能够控制社会经济地位、原籍国生育率、年龄和婚姻状况等群体间的差异。对所有美国移民以及按原籍国或地区定义的子群体的关系进行了研究。结果表明,如果用于得出有关移民对生育率的影响以及明智的政策干预措施的结论,那么不考虑居住时间的简单移民生育率衡量指标可能会产生误导。