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失业持续时间对全国自杀率的影响:一项时间序列分析,1948 - 1982年

The effect of unemployment duration on national suicide rates: a time series analysis, 1948-1982.

作者信息

Stack S, Haas A

出版信息

Sociol Focus. 1984 Jan;17(1):17-29. doi: 10.1080/00380237.1984.10570459.

Abstract

The relationship between unemployment and suicide in the United States is examined. Data for the period 1948 to 1978, primarily from the U.S. Public Health Service, are used to examine the effect of the duration of unemployment on suicide. "The results of a Cochrane-Orcutt iterative regression analysis indicate that the greater the duration of unemployment the greater the suicide rate. Using ex post forecasting techniques it is estimated that increases in unemployment during the Reagan administration have been associated with at least 929 additional deaths from suicide."

摘要

本文研究了美国失业率与自杀率之间的关系。主要采用来自美国公共卫生服务局的1948年至1978年期间的数据,来检验失业持续时间对自杀的影响。“科克伦-奥科特迭代回归分析结果表明,失业持续时间越长,自杀率越高。采用事后预测技术估计,里根政府执政期间失业率的上升与至少929例额外的自杀死亡案例有关。”

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