White M J
Urban Aff Q. 1984 Dec;20(2):165-83. doi: 10.1177/004208168402000203.
"The concept of succession is well established in both ecological and economic models of urban residential change, yet much remains unknown about the determinants of succession in urban neighborhoods. Employing longitudinal census tract data for four [U.S.] cities, this article predicts racial composition of neighborhoods as a function of earlier-period racial, ethnic, socioeconomic, and physical characteristics. There is support for aspects of the ecological and filtering models of succession, although many elements of the process are not generally applicable across time and place."
在城市居住变化的生态和经济模型中，更替的概念已得到充分确立，但城市社区更替的决定因素仍有许多未知之处。本文利用美国四个城市的纵向普查区数据，将社区的种族构成预测为早期种族、民族、社会经济和物质特征的函数。虽然更替过程的许多要素在不同时间和地点并不普遍适用，但生态和过滤更替模型的某些方面得到了支持。
