O'Neill Philip D
School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK.
Math Biosci. 2002 Nov-Dec;180:103-14. doi: 10.1016/s0025-5564(02)00109-8.
Recent Bayesian methods for the analysis of infectious disease outbreak data using stochastic epidemic models are reviewed. These methods rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Both temporal and non-temporal data are considered. The methods are illustrated with a number of examples featuring different models and datasets.
本文综述了近期使用随机流行病模型分析传染病爆发数据的贝叶斯方法。这些方法依赖于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法。同时考虑了时间数据和非时间数据。文中通过多个具有不同模型和数据集的例子对这些方法进行了说明。