Brown Linda Morris, Devesa Susan S
Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, 6120 Executive Blvd, Room 8026, MSC 7244, Bethesda, MD 20892-7244, USA.
Surg Oncol Clin N Am. 2002 Apr;11(2):235-56. doi: 10.1016/s1055-3207(02)00002-9.
Use of tobacco, moderate to heavy alcohol ingestion, infrequent consumption of raw fruits and vegetables, and low income accounted for more [figure: see text] than 98% of the SCE rates among both African American and white men and for 99% of the excess incidence among African Americans compared to whites in a case-control study in three areas of the United States [14]. Thus, it is likely that declines in the prevalence of smoking and drinking, especially among men, and increased intake of fresh fruits and vegetables may have contributed to the downward incidence and mortality rate trends reported for SCE. In addition, it seems plausible that obesity, GERD, and possibly reductions in H. pylori prevalence have contributed to the upward trends in ACE rates. Reductions in smoking, improved diet, and reductions in H. pylori prevalence probably have contributed to the consistent reductions observed for NGA. Contributing factors are less clear for the rising incidence rates of GCA during the 1970s and 1980s. These incidence rates have not continued to rise in recent years.
在美国三个地区开展的一项病例对照研究中,烟草使用、中度至重度饮酒、很少食用生的水果和蔬菜以及低收入因素,在非裔美国人和白人男性的SCE发病率中所占比例均超过98%,在非裔美国人相较于白人的额外发病率中所占比例为99%[14]。因此,吸烟和饮酒患病率的下降,尤其是男性中的下降,以及新鲜水果和蔬菜摄入量的增加,可能是SCE发病率和死亡率呈下降趋势的原因。此外,肥胖、胃食管反流病以及幽门螺杆菌患病率的可能下降,似乎是ACE发病率上升趋势的原因。吸烟减少、饮食改善以及幽门螺杆菌患病率下降,可能是NGA发病率持续下降的原因。20世纪70年代和80年代GCA发病率上升的影响因素尚不清楚。近年来,这些发病率并未持续上升。