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["老年人" 是否在以 "年轻人" 为代价生活?从经济角度看老龄化人口中 "代际" 间的负担分配]

[Are the "elderly" living at the expense of the "young"? Remarks on the burden distribution between "generations" in an aging population from the economic perspective].

作者信息

Schmähl W

机构信息

Zentrum für Sozialpolitik, Universität Bremen, Parkallee 39 28209 Bremen, Germany.

出版信息

Z Gerontol Geriatr. 2002 Aug;35(4):304-14. doi: 10.1007/s00391-002-0103-8.

DOI:10.1007/s00391-002-0103-8
PMID:12426877
Abstract

Public and scientific discussion on the effects of an aging population is often biased: aging is primarily seen as an economic burden. Increasing contribution rates in pension schemes, health and long-term care insurance are highlighted. This paper tries to provide a more balanced view. The distinction between a cross-sectional and a longitudinal view already gives different information on distributional effects. Labeling older people as "economically inactive" is a much too narrow perspective focused on the activity on the labor market only. Other types of work are neglected such as caring for children or frail elderly as well as economic activities from wealth, consumption as well as paying taxes to finance public expenditure. The approach of "generational accounting" is also narrow, focusing on public expenditure, social insurance contributions and only some types of taxes, but not dealing with private, especially intrafamily transfers. In economic terms, a comprehensive approach is needed regarding the effect of institutions and measures on the economic situation of cohorts. The role of investment in human capital is mentioned as a decisive factor for productivity in a country. Further education and retraining of older workers is one important element. An integrative approach dealing with the different fields of activities is needed when analyzing the intergenerational as well as the intragenerational distribution. This requires an elaborated and differentiated reporting of distributional effects. This important precondition, however, does not exist in Germany.

摘要

关于老龄化人口影响的公众和科学讨论往往存在偏差

老龄化主要被视为一种经济负担。养老金计划、健康保险和长期护理保险中缴费率的提高被凸显出来。本文试图提供一个更平衡的观点。横断面视角和纵向视角的区分已经给出了关于分配效应的不同信息。将老年人贴上“经济不活跃”的标签是一个过于狭隘的视角,仅关注劳动力市场上的活动。其他类型的工作被忽视了,比如照顾儿童或体弱的老年人,以及来自财富、消费以及为公共支出纳税的经济活动。“代际核算”方法也很狭隘,只关注公共支出、社会保险缴费和某些类型的税收,而不涉及私人的,尤其是家庭内部的转移支付。从经济角度来看,需要一种全面的方法来考量制度和措施对不同人群经济状况的影响。人力资本投资的作用被提及是一个国家生产力的决定性因素。老年工人的继续教育和再培训是一个重要因素。在分析代际以及代内分配时,需要一种综合处理不同活动领域的方法。这需要对分配效应进行详尽且有区分的报告。然而,德国并不具备这一重要前提条件。

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