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除中枢神经系统肿瘤外的儿童实体瘤的时空聚集模式。

Space-time clustering patterns in childhood solid tumours other than central nervous system tumours.

作者信息

McNally Richard J Q, Kelsey Anna M, Eden Osborn B, Alexander Freda E, Cairns Donal P, Birch Jillian M

机构信息

Cancer Research UK Paediatric and Familial Cancer Research Group, Central Manchester and Manchester Children's University Hospitals NHS Trust, Manchester, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2003 Jan 10;103(2):253-8. doi: 10.1002/ijc.10812.

Abstract

The aetiology of most childhood solid tumours (other than central nervous system [CNS] tumours) is unclear. To investigate whether certain environmental exposures may be involved, we have analysed for space-time clustering using population-based data from North West England for the period 1954-98. Knox tests for space-time interactions between cases were applied with fixed thresholds of close in space, <5 km, and close in time, <1 year apart. Addresses at birth and at diagnosis were used. Tests were repeated replacing geographical distance with distance to the Nth nearest neighbour. N was chosen such that the mean distance was 5 km. Data were also examined by a second order procedure based on K-functions. There was significant evidence of space-time clustering for Wilms' tumours (p = 0.03 and 0.04, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the Knox test; and p = 0.07 and 0.03, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the K-function method), and soft tissue sarcomas (p = 0.01, using both the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the Knox test; and p = 0.001 and 0.002, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the K-function method) based on time and location at birth, but not time and location at diagnosis. There was little or no evidence of space-time clustering amongst other diagnostic groups. These are the first results to demonstrate space-time clustering for childhood Wilms' tumours and soft tissue sarcomas. The results are consistent with environmental exposure hypotheses, relating to locations pre-natally or peri-natally.

摘要

大多数儿童实体瘤(中枢神经系统[CNS]肿瘤除外)的病因尚不清楚。为了调查是否涉及某些环境暴露因素,我们利用1954年至1998年英格兰西北部基于人群的数据进行了时空聚集分析。对病例之间的时空相互作用进行了诺克斯检验,设定了空间距离<5公里和时间间隔<1年的固定阈值。使用出生时和诊断时的地址。用到第N个最近邻的距离代替地理距离重复进行检验。选择N使得平均距离为5公里。还通过基于K函数的二阶程序检查了数据。有显著证据表明,基于出生时的时间和地点,肾母细胞瘤存在时空聚集(使用诺克斯检验的地理距离和最近邻版本时,p分别为0.03和0.04;使用K函数方法的地理距离和最近邻版本时,p分别为0.07和0.03),软组织肉瘤也存在时空聚集(使用诺克斯检验的地理距离和最近邻版本时,p均为0.01;使用K函数方法的地理距离和最近邻版本时,p分别为0.001和0.002),但基于诊断时的时间和地点则没有。在其他诊断组中几乎没有时空聚集的证据。这些是首次证明儿童肾母细胞瘤和软组织肉瘤存在时空聚集的结果。这些结果与产前或围产期暴露于环境的假说一致。

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