McNally Richard J Q, Bithell John F, Vincent Tim J, Murphy Michael F G
School of Clinical Medical Sciences (Child Health) and Institute of Health and Society, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Int J Cancer. 2009 Jan 15;124(2):449-55. doi: 10.1002/ijc.23927.
Previously, we identified space-time clustering in certain childhood cancers around diagnosis residence. These findings provided support for the involvement of environmental agents in etiological processes occurring close to diagnosis. We have reanalyzed the same British population-based dataset. The aim of the study was to determine whether there was space-time clustering around the residence at birth in relation to time of birth and separately from time of diagnosis. A total of 29,553 cases, diagnosed during the period 1969-1993, were examined by a second-order procedure based on K-functions. Locations were birth addresses, but separately, both dates of birth and diagnosis were analyzed. There was statistically significant space-time clustering for Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) and central nervous system (CNS) tumors (p=0.047 and 0.01, respectively, based on birth date) and for total leukemia at ages 1-4 years only, Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and Wilms tumor (p=0.01, 0.02 and 0.006, respectively, based on diagnosis date). These results, interpreted together with other epidemiological evidence, suggest an etiological role for environmental factors focused around birth address for certain childhood cancers. For HL and CNS tumors, findings suggest that etiological exposures occurred at similar ages or in utero. For leukemia, NHL and Wilms tumor there is support for exposures occurring at similar times before diagnosis. For leukemia, HL, NHL and CNS tumors, but not Wilms tumor, the findings are consistent with infectious hypotheses.
此前,我们在某些儿童癌症的诊断居住地周围发现了时空聚集现象。这些发现为环境因素参与诊断前不久发生的病因学过程提供了支持。我们重新分析了同一个基于英国人群的数据集。该研究的目的是确定在出生居住地周围,相对于出生时间以及独立于诊断时间,是否存在时空聚集现象。我们采用基于K函数的二阶程序,对1969年至1993年期间诊断的总共29553例病例进行了检查。地点为出生地址,但分别对出生日期和诊断日期进行了分析。霍奇金淋巴瘤(HL)、中枢神经系统(CNS)肿瘤(基于出生日期,p值分别为0.047和0.01)以及仅1 - 4岁儿童的白血病总数、非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL)和肾母细胞瘤(基于诊断日期,p值分别为0.01、0.02和0.006)存在统计学显著的时空聚集现象。这些结果与其他流行病学证据一起解读,表明环境因素在某些儿童癌症的出生地址周围病因学中发挥作用。对于HL和CNS肿瘤,研究结果表明病因暴露发生在相似年龄或子宫内。对于白血病、NHL和肾母细胞瘤,有证据支持在诊断前相似时间发生暴露。对于白血病、HL、NHL和CNS肿瘤,但不包括肾母细胞瘤,研究结果与感染假说一致。