Nieto A, Ruiz-Ramos M, Abdel-Kader L, Conde M, Camacho F
Departamento de Ciencias Socio-Sanitarias, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Sevilla, Avda Sanchez Pizjuan s/n, Spain.
Br J Dermatol. 2003 Jan;148(1):110-6. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2133.2003.04990.x.
Cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) morbidity and mortality rates have increased over the past several decades all around the world, but some developed countries have experienced recent declines in mortality from CMM among the young and middle-aged and even a reversal in the long-term increase in deaths attributable to CMM.
To describe CMM mortality trends, by age and gender, in Spain between 1975 and 1998.
Crude, age-adjusted, truncated, cumulative, age-specific and potential years of life lost rates of CMM mortality were calculated by gender. Age and period Poisson regression models were fitted to gender- and age-specific CMM mortality rates.
In males there were marked increases in all CMM mortality rates between 1975 and 1994, followed by their decrease during 1995-98. In contrast, rates rose in females between 1975 and 1998. There were annual increases of 13% in the risk of dying among males and 33% among females. Relative risks of CMM mortality increased with age in both genders: (i) 21.75 (95% confidence interval, CI 17.32-27.30) in males, and (ii) 28.27 (95% CI 24.99-31.97) in females in the > or = 70-year-old group, when compared with those < 35 years.
CMM mortality rates continue to rise in females while males have experienced a recent reversal of this trend in Spain. Emphasizing the danger of overexposure to ultraviolet radiation may be especially important in females.
在过去几十年里,全球皮肤恶性黑色素瘤(CMM)的发病率和死亡率均有所上升,但一些发达国家近期出现了年轻和中年人群CMM死亡率下降的情况,甚至CMM所致死亡的长期增长趋势也出现了逆转。
描述1975年至1998年间西班牙按年龄和性别划分的CMM死亡率趋势。
按性别计算CMM死亡率的粗率、年龄调整率、截尾率、累积率、年龄别率和潜在寿命损失率。对按性别和年龄划分的CMM死亡率拟合年龄和时期泊松回归模型。
1975年至1994年间,男性所有CMM死亡率均显著上升,随后在1995 - 1998年期间下降。相比之下,1975年至1998年间女性的死亡率上升。男性死亡风险每年增加13%,女性增加33%。CMM死亡率的相对风险在两性中均随年龄增加:(i)与<35岁的人群相比,70岁及以上男性的相对风险为21.75(95%置信区间,CI 17.32 - 27.30);(ii)70岁及以上女性的相对风险为28.27(95%CI 24.99 - 31.97)。
在西班牙,女性CMM死亡率持续上升,而男性近期出现了这一趋势的逆转。强调过度暴露于紫外线辐射的危险性对女性可能尤为重要。