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气候变化与栖息地破坏:致命的人为混合物。

Climate change and habitat destruction: a deadly anthropogenic cocktail.

作者信息

Travis J M J

机构信息

Centre for Conservation Science, The Observatory, Buchanan Gardens, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, Fife KY16 9LZ, UK.

出版信息

Proc Biol Sci. 2003 Mar 7;270(1514):467-73. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2002.2246.

Abstract

Climate change and habitat destruction are two of the greatest threats to global biodiversity. Lattice models have been used to investigate how hypothetical species with different characteristics respond to habitat loss. The main result shows that a sharp threshold in habitat availability exists below which a species rapidly becomes extinct. Here, a similar modelling approach is taken to establish what determines how species respond to climate change. A similar threshold exists for the rate of climate change as has been observed for habitat loss-patch occupancy remains high up to a critical rate of climate change, beyond which species extinction becomes likely. Habitat specialists, especially those of relatively poor colonizing ability are least able to keep pace with climate change. The interaction between climate change and habitat loss might be disastrous. During climate change, the habitat threshold occurs sooner. Similarly, species suffer more from climate change in a fragmented habitat.

摘要

气候变化和栖息地破坏是对全球生物多样性最大的两大威胁。格子模型已被用于研究具有不同特征的假设物种如何应对栖息地丧失。主要结果表明,栖息地可用性存在一个急剧的阈值,低于该阈值物种会迅速灭绝。在此,采用类似的建模方法来确定是什么决定了物种如何应对气候变化。气候变化速率也存在类似的阈值,正如在栖息地丧失中观察到的那样——斑块占有率在气候变化的临界速率之前一直很高,超过该临界速率物种就可能灭绝。栖息地 specialists,尤其是那些殖民能力相对较差的物种,最无法跟上气候变化的步伐。气候变化和栖息地丧失之间的相互作用可能是灾难性的。在气候变化期间,栖息地阈值会更早出现。同样,在碎片化的栖息地中,物种受气候变化的影响更大。 (注:原文中“specialists”未明确具体意思,可根据上下文进一步确定准确翻译,暂直译为“specialists”)

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