Smith P G, Doll R
Br J Radiol. 1976 Mar;49(579):224-32. doi: 10.1259/0007-1285-49-579-224.
We have previously reported on the causes of death among 2,068 patients treated with X irradiation for metropathia haemorrhagica at three Scottish radiotherapy centres between 1940 and 1960 (Doll and Smith, 1968). This cohort of women has now been followed up for a further seven years. 500 (24 per cent) women have now died, 78 (3-8 per cent) have emigrated and 25 (1-2 per cent) could not be traced. The numbers of deaths from different causes have been compared with the numbers expected in a population of similar age and sex exposed to the Scottish national mortality rates over the same period. An excess of deaths from leukaemia (seven observed, 2-3 expected) and of cancers of the heavily irradiated sites (59 observed, 40-1 expected) continues to be observed five or more years after treatment. There is no indication of any change in the excess death rate, due to cancers of sites in the radiation field, with time since treatment up to at least 20 years after the radiation exposure. Over the same period the number of deaths from cancer of the breast was below expectation (ten observed, 22-3 expected) and no increased mortality from coronary disease was seen (102 observed, 100-9 expected). The mean dose of radiation to the bone marrow has been determined for each woman ant it is estimated that the excess rate of leukaemia in the first 20 years after treatment is about 1-1 per million women per year per rad. This figure is in accord with the estimates derived from the survivors of the atomic bomb explosions in Hiroshima and Nagasaki and among patients with ankylosing spondylitis treated with X irradiation. However, the finding of no excess risk of leukemia among women treated with irradiation for cancer of the cervix (Hutchison, 1968) suggests that the simple assumption of a linear dose-response relationship for leukaemia is incorrect, at least when high doses of radiation are delivered to a small volume of marrow.
我们之前报道过1940年至1960年间在苏格兰三个放射治疗中心接受X射线治疗功能性子宫出血的2068名患者的死亡原因(多尔和史密斯,1968年)。这组女性患者现在又被随访了七年。现在有500名(24%)女性死亡,78名(3.8%)移民,25名(1.2%)无法追踪到。已将不同原因导致的死亡人数与同期暴露于苏格兰全国死亡率的年龄和性别相似的人群中预期的死亡人数进行了比较。治疗后五年或更长时间,仍持续观察到白血病死亡人数过多(观察到7例,预期2.3例)以及受高剂量辐射部位的癌症死亡人数过多(观察到59例,预期40.1例)。没有迹象表明,自治疗后直至至少辐射暴露后20年,辐射野部位癌症导致的超额死亡率有任何变化。在同一时期,乳腺癌死亡人数低于预期(观察到10例,预期22.3例),未观察到冠心病死亡率增加(观察到102例,预期100.9例)。已确定了每位女性骨髓的平均辐射剂量,据估计,治疗后前20年白血病的超额发病率约为每拉德每年每百万女性1.1例。这个数字与广岛和长崎原子弹爆炸幸存者以及接受X射线治疗的强直性脊柱炎患者得出的估计值一致。然而,在接受宫颈癌放疗的女性中未发现白血病风险增加(哈钦森,1968年),这表明至少在高剂量辐射作用于小体积骨髓时,关于白血病的简单线性剂量反应关系假设是不正确的。