Gaston Kevin J, Blackburn Tim M, Klein Goldewijk Kees
Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK.
Proc Biol Sci. 2003 Jun 22;270(1521):1293-300. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2002.2303.
The magnitude of the impacts of human activities on global biodiversity has been documented at several organizational levels. However, although there have been numerous studies of the effects of local-scale changes in land use (e.g. logging) on the abundance of groups of organisms, broader continental or global-scale analyses addressing the same basic issues remain largely wanting. None the less, changing patterns of land use, associated with the appropriation of increasing proportions of net primary productivity by the human population, seem likely not simply to have reduced the diversity of life, but also to have reduced the carrying capacity of the environment in terms of the numbers of other organisms that it can sustain. Here, we estimate the size of the existing global breeding bird population, and then make a first approximation as to how much this has been modified as a consequence of land-use changes wrought by human activities. Summing numbers across different land-use classes gives a best current estimate of a global population of less than 100 billion breeding bird individuals. Applying the same methodology to estimates of original land-use distributions suggests that conservatively this may represent a loss of between a fifth and a quarter of pre-agricultural bird numbers. This loss is shared across a range of temperate and tropical land-use types.
人类活动对全球生物多样性的影响程度已在多个组织层面得到记录。然而,尽管已有众多关于土地利用局部变化(如伐木)对生物群体数量影响的研究,但针对相同基本问题的更广泛的大陆或全球尺度分析仍极为匮乏。尽管如此,与人类占用越来越大比例的净初级生产力相关的土地利用变化模式,似乎不仅减少了生物多样性,还降低了环境在可维持的其他生物数量方面的承载能力。在此,我们估算了现存全球繁殖鸟类种群的规模,然后初步估算了由于人类活动导致的土地利用变化,这一种群数量被改变了多少。将不同土地利用类别中的数量相加,得出目前对全球繁殖鸟类种群数量的最佳估计,即少于1000亿只。将相同方法应用于对原始土地利用分布的估计表明,保守估计这可能意味着农业出现之前鸟类数量减少了五分之一至四分之一。这种减少在一系列温带和热带土地利用类型中都存在。