Silber Jeffrey H, Rosenbaum Paul R, Even-Shoshan Orit, Shabbout Mayadah, Zhang Xuemei, Bradlow Eric T, Marsh Roger R
The Center for Outcomes Research, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Health Serv Res. 2003 Jun;38(3):867-86. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.00150.
To understand differences in length of stay for asthma patients between New York State and Pennsylvania across children's and general hospitals in order to better guide policy.
DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: All pediatric admissions for asthma in the states of Pennsylvania and New York using claims data obtained from each state for the years 1996-1998, n = 38,310.
A retrospective cohort design to model length of stay (LOS), the probability of prolonged stay, conditional length of stay (CLOS or the LOS after stay is prolonged), and the probability of readmission, controlling for patient factors, state, location and hospital type. ANALYTIC METHODS: Logit models were used to estimate the probability of prolonged stay and readmission. The LOS and the CLOS were estimated with Cox regression. Model variables included comorbidities, income, race, distance from hospital, and insurance type. Prolonged stay was based on a Hollander-Proschan "New-Worse-Than-Used" test, corresponding to a three-day stay.
The LOS was longer in New York than Pennsylvania, and the probabilities of prolonged stay and readmission were much higher in New York than Pennsylvania. However, once an admission was prolonged, there were no differences in CLOS between states (when readmissions were not added to the LOS calculation). In both states, children's hospitals and general hospitals had similar adjusted LOS.
Management of asthma appears more efficient in Pennsylvania than New York: Less severe patients are discharged faster in Pennsylvania than New York; once discharged, patients are less likely to be readmitted in Pennsylvania than New York. However, once a stay is prolonged, there is little difference between New York and Pennsylvania, suggesting medical care for severely ill patients is similar across states. Differences between children's and general hospitals were small as compared to differences between states. We conclude that policy initiatives in New York, and other states, should focus their efforts on improving the care provided to less severe patients in order to help reduce overall length of stay.
了解纽约州和宾夕法尼亚州儿童医院及综合医院哮喘患者住院时间的差异,以便更好地指导政策制定。
数据来源/研究背景:利用1996 - 1998年从宾夕法尼亚州和纽约州获取的索赔数据,纳入这两个州所有因哮喘住院的儿科患者,样本量n = 38,310。
采用回顾性队列设计,对住院时间(LOS)、延长住院时间的概率、条件住院时间(CLOS,即住院时间延长后的LOS)以及再入院概率进行建模,同时控制患者因素、州、地点和医院类型。分析方法:使用Logit模型估计延长住院时间和再入院的概率。LOS和CLOS通过Cox回归进行估计。模型变量包括合并症、收入、种族、距医院的距离以及保险类型。延长住院时间基于霍兰德 - 普罗尚“新 - 差于 - 旧”检验,对应三天住院时间。
纽约州的LOS比宾夕法尼亚州长,纽约州延长住院时间和再入院的概率比宾夕法尼亚州高得多。然而,一旦住院时间延长,两州之间的CLOS没有差异(当再入院情况未纳入LOS计算时)。在两个州,儿童医院和综合医院的调整后LOS相似。
宾夕法尼亚州对哮喘的管理似乎比纽约州更有效:在宾夕法尼亚州,病情较轻的患者出院速度比纽约州快;出院后,宾夕法尼亚州患者再入院的可能性比纽约州小。然而,一旦住院时间延长,纽约州和宾夕法尼亚州之间差异不大,这表明各州对重症患者的医疗护理相似。与州之间的差异相比,儿童医院和综合医院之间的差异较小。我们得出结论,纽约州及其他州的政策举措应集中精力改善对病情较轻患者的护理,以帮助缩短总体住院时间。