Kirby James B, Machlin Steven R, Cohen Joel W
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Center for Cost and Financing Studies, Rockville, MD 20852, USA.
Med Care. 2003 Jul;41(7 Suppl):III24-III34. doi: 10.1097/01.MLR.0000076021.02410.DB.
To describe changes in health services use and expenditures within the Medicaid population between 1987 and 1997 and to estimate the extent to which the increase in Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) enrollment has influenced these changes.
Individuals under the age of 65 years in the 1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey and the 1997 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey enrolled in Medicaid the entire year.
Using bivariate and multivariate techniques, we compared several measures of health services use and expenditures across three groups: (1) individuals enrolled in Medicaid for all of 1987; (2) individuals enrolled in Medicaid for all of 1997 but never enrolled in an HMO; and (3) individuals enrolled in Medicaid for all of 1997 and enrolled in an HMO for at least part of the year.
Medicaid enrollees in 1997 differ little from Medicaid recipients in 1987 with respect to use and expenditures. Modest but statistically significant differences emerge, however, when a distinction is made between HMO enrollees and non-HMO enrollees in 1997. Specifically, 1997 Medicaid HMO enrollees have significantly fewer hospital visits than 1987 Medicaid enrollees and spend significantly less on health services than 1997 non-HMO enrollees.
Our findings suggest that the increase in HMO enrollment may have held down use and expenditures to rates modestly lower than what would have been expected had HMO enrollment not increased.
描述1987年至1997年医疗补助人群医疗服务使用情况及支出的变化,并估计健康维护组织(HMO)参保人数增加对这些变化的影响程度。
1987年全国医疗支出调查和1997年医疗支出小组调查中年龄在65岁以下且全年参加医疗补助的个人。
我们运用双变量和多变量技术,比较了三组人群的多项医疗服务使用情况及支出指标:(1)1987年全年参加医疗补助的个人;(2)1997年全年参加医疗补助但从未参加过HMO的个人;(3)1997年全年参加医疗补助且至少在一年中的部分时间参加过HMO的个人。
1997年的医疗补助参保者在医疗服务使用和支出方面与1987年的医疗补助受益者差异不大。然而,当对1997年参加HMO的参保者和未参加HMO的参保者进行区分时,出现了适度但具有统计学意义的差异。具体而言,1997年参加医疗补助的HMO参保者的住院次数明显少于1987年的医疗补助参保者,且在医疗服务上的支出明显低于1997年未参加HMO的参保者。
我们的研究结果表明,HMO参保人数的增加可能使医疗服务的使用和支出降低到略低于HMO参保人数未增加时预期的水平。