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一种基于条件把握度的临床试验样本量调整程序。

A sample size adjustment procedure for clinical trials based on conditional power.

作者信息

Li Gang, Shih Weichung J, Xie Tailiang, Lu Jiang

机构信息

Organon Inc., 375 Mt Pleasant Ave., West Orange, NJ 07052, USA.

出版信息

Biostatistics. 2002 Jun;3(2):277-87. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/3.2.277.

DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/3.2.277
PMID:12933618
Abstract

When designing clinical trials, researchers often encounter the uncertainty in the treatment effect or variability assumptions. Hence the sample size calculation at the planning stage of a clinical trial may also be questionable. Adjustment of the sample size during the mid-course of a clinical trial has become a popular strategy lately. In this paper we propose a procedure for calculating additional sample size needed based on conditional power, and adjusting the final-stage critical value to protect the overall type-I error rate. Compared to other previous procedures, the proposed procedure uses the definition of the conditional type-I error directly without appealing to an extra special function for it. It has better flexibility in setting up interim decision rules and the final-stage test is a likelihood ratio test.

摘要

在设计临床试验时,研究人员常常会遇到治疗效果或变异性假设方面的不确定性。因此,在临床试验规划阶段的样本量计算也可能存在问题。在临床试验进行过程中调整样本量最近已成为一种流行策略。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于条件功效计算所需额外样本量,并调整最终阶段临界值以保护总体I型错误率的程序。与之前的其他程序相比,所提出的程序直接使用条件I型错误的定义,无需为其引入额外的特殊函数。在设置中期决策规则方面具有更好的灵活性,并且最终阶段的检验是似然比检验。

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