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具有样本量重新计算的最大似然估计量的渐近性质。

Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators with sample size recalculation.

作者信息

Tarima Sergey, Flournoy Nancy

机构信息

Institute for Health and Equity, Medical College of Wisconsin.

Department of Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia.

出版信息

Stat Pap (Berl). 2019 Apr;60(2):373-394. doi: 10.1007/s00362-019-01095-x. Epub 2019 Feb 28.

Abstract

Consider an experiment in which the primary objective is to determine the significance of a treatment effect at a predetermined type I error and statistical power. Assume that the sample size required to maintain these type I error and power will be re-estimated at an interim analysis. A secondary objective is to estimate the treatment effect. Our main finding is that the asymptotic distributions of standardized statistics are random mixtures of distributions, which are non-normal except under certain model choices for sample size re-estimation (SSR). Monte-Carlo simulation studies and an illustrative example highlight the fact that asymptotic distributions of estimators with SSR may differ from the asymptotic distribution of the same estimators without SSR.

摘要

考虑这样一个实验,其主要目标是在预定的I型错误率和统计功效下确定治疗效果的显著性。假设在中期分析时将重新估计维持这些I型错误率和功效所需的样本量。次要目标是估计治疗效果。我们的主要发现是,标准化统计量的渐近分布是分布的随机混合,除了在样本量重新估计(SSR)的某些模型选择下,这些分布是非正态的。蒙特卡罗模拟研究和一个示例突出了这样一个事实,即具有SSR的估计量的渐近分布可能与没有SSR的相同估计量的渐近分布不同。

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