Weir Hannah K, Thun Michael J, Hankey Benjamin F, Ries Lynn A G, Howe Holly L, Wingo Phyllis A, Jemal Ahmedin, Ward Elizabeth, Anderson Robert N, Edwards Brenda K
Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30341, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2003 Sep 3;95(17):1276-99. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djg040.
The American Cancer Society, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the National Cancer Institute (NCI), and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries (NAACCR) collaborate annually to update cancer rates and trends in the United States. This report updates statistics on lung, female breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers and highlights the uses of selected surveillance data to assist development of state-based cancer control plans.
Age-adjusted incidence rates from 1996 through 2000 are from state and metropolitan area cancer registries that met NAACCR criteria for highest quality. Death rates are based on underlying cause-of-death data. Long-term trends and rates for major racial and ethnic populations are based on NCI and CDC data. Incidence trends from 1975 through 2000 were adjusted for reporting delays. State-specific screening and risk factor survey data are from the CDC and other federal and private organizations.
Cancer incidence rates for all cancer sites combined increased from the mid-1970s through 1992 and then decreased from 1992 through 1995. Observed incidence rates for all cancers combined were essentially stable from 1995 through 2000, whereas the delay-adjusted trend showed an increase that had borderline statistical significance (P =.05). Increases in the incidence rates of breast cancer in women and prostate cancer in men offset a long-term decrease in lung cancer in men. Death rates for all cancer sites combined decreased beginning in 1994 and stabilized from 1998 through 2000, resulting in part from recent revisions in cause-of-death codes. Death rates among men continued to decline throughout the 1990s, whereas trends in death rates among women were essentially unchanged from 1998 through 2000. Analysis of state data for the leading cancers revealed mixed progress in achieving national objectives for improving cancer screening, risk factor reduction, and decreases in mortality.
Overall cancer incidence and death rates began to stabilize in the mid- to late 1990s. The recent increase in the delay-adjusted trend will require monitoring with additional years of data. Further reduction in the burden of cancer is possible but will require the continuation of strong federal, state, local, and private partnerships to increase dissemination of evidence-based cancer control programs to all segments of the population.
美国癌症协会、疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)、国家癌症研究所(NCI)以及北美中央癌症登记协会(NAACCR)每年都会合作更新美国的癌症发病率及趋势。本报告更新了肺癌、女性乳腺癌、前列腺癌和结直肠癌的统计数据,并着重介绍了部分监测数据在协助制定基于州的癌症控制计划方面的用途。
1996年至2000年的年龄调整发病率来自符合NAACCR最高质量标准的州和大都市地区癌症登记处。死亡率基于潜在死因数据。主要种族和族裔人群的长期趋势和发病率基于NCI和CDC的数据。对1975年至2000年的发病率趋势进行了报告延迟调整。特定州的筛查和风险因素调查数据来自CDC以及其他联邦和私人组织。
所有癌症部位综合发病率从20世纪70年代中期至1992年呈上升趋势,然后从1992年至1995年下降。从1995年至2000年,所有癌症综合观察发病率基本稳定,而经延迟调整后的趋势呈上升,具有临界统计学意义(P = 0.05)。女性乳腺癌和男性前列腺癌发病率的上升抵消了男性肺癌的长期下降趋势。所有癌症部位综合死亡率从1994年开始下降,并在1998年至2000年保持稳定,部分原因是近期死因编码的修订。整个20世纪90年代男性死亡率持续下降,而女性死亡率趋势从1998年至2000年基本未变。对主要癌症的州数据分析显示,在实现改善癌症筛查、降低风险因素和降低死亡率的国家目标方面取得了喜忧参半的进展。
总体癌症发病率和死亡率在20世纪90年代中后期开始趋于稳定。近期经延迟调整后的趋势上升需要通过更多年份的数据进行监测。进一步减轻癌症负担是可能的,但需要联邦、州、地方和私人部门继续保持强有力的合作关系,以扩大循证癌症控制项目向所有人群的推广。