Chiang T L
Institute of Public Health College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, R.O.C.
Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi (Taipei). 1992 Aug;50(2):153-60.
Using the data from the Dentist Masterfile of the Department of Health, Executive Yuan, and the reports from all Colleges of Medicine in Taiwan and the Ministry of Defense, this study projected the future supply of dentists as well as their geographic distribution. The components of projection included studying current supply, future increment and loss. The results of this study showed that there would be 7897 active dentists in Taiwan by the year 2000, or 36 dentists per 100,000 population. It also showed the poor geographical distribution of dentists will not substantially ameliorate in response the rapidly increasing supply of dentists. The 14 to 1 ratio of the highest to the lowest (Taipei city V.S. Penghu county) in terms of dentist-population will remain in the coming decade. Finally, this study discussed the projection process as well as the implications for dentist manpower policy in Taiwan.
本研究利用行政院卫生署牙医主档的数据，以及台湾各医学院和国防部的报告，预测了未来牙医的供应情况及其地理分布。预测的组成部分包括研究当前供应、未来增量和流失情况。研究结果表明，到2000年台湾将有7897名执业牙医，即每10万人口中有36名牙医。研究还表明，牙医地理分布不均的情况不会因牙医供应的迅速增加而得到实质性改善。未来十年，牙医与人口比例最高与最低地区（台北市与澎湖县）的14比1的比例仍将保持。最后，本研究讨论了预测过程以及对台湾牙医人力政策的影响。
