Ahmed A A, Fateha B, Benjamin S
Department of Training and Planning, Ministry of Health, Manama, Bahrain.
East Mediterr Health J. 2000 Jan;6(1):6-12.
We examined the supply and demand of medical doctors and dentists in Bahrain. Demand for physicians and dentists was based on the objective of having a physician-to-population ratio of 1:650, and a dentist-to-population ratio of 1:5000. Analysis of the current workforce and projected graduates in the period 1998-2005 indicated that the supply of Bahraini medical doctors and dentists until the year 2005 will not be sufficient to meet the projected demand in these categories. By the year 2005, Bahraini doctors and dentists will provide 82.5% and 75.9% of medical and dental demands respectively. The remaining 17.2% of physicians and 24.1% of dentists will have to be recruited from abroad. Thus, the prospect of oversupply of Bahrainis among these categories until the year 2005 is highly unlikely.
我们研究了巴林的医生和牙医的供需情况。对医生和牙医的需求基于以下目标:医生与人口的比例为1:650,牙医与人口的比例为1:5000。对1998年至2005年期间现有劳动力和预计毕业生的分析表明,到2005年巴林医生和牙医的供应将不足以满足这些类别的预计需求。到2005年,巴林医生和牙医将分别满足82.5%的医疗需求和75.9%的牙科需求。其余17.2%的医生和24.1%的牙医将必须从国外招聘。因此,到2005年这些类别中巴林人供应过剩的可能性极小。