Hart G
STD Control Branch, South Australia.
Genitourin Med. 1992 Aug;68(4):217-20. doi: 10.1136/sti.68.4.217.
Predictors of chlamydia and gonorrhoea can be used to increase the cost-effectiveness and acceptability of screening programmes, and allow targeting of control strategies.
All women attending an STD clinic in 1988-1990 were offered screening for chlamydia and gonorrhoea, and the test results correlated with a wide range of potential predictors using multiple logistic regression.
Of 4822 attenders, 3533 (73.3%) were tested for chlamydia over a total of 5430 episodes, yielding 348 (6.4%) positives, and 3510 (72.8%) were tested for gonorrhoea over a total of 5450 episodes, yielding 100 (1.0%) positives. Independent predictors of chlamydial infection were being an STD contact, having endocervical gonorrhoea, being under 25, not having genital herpes, being Aboriginal, using oral contraception, not having a steady partner and having vaginal discharge or dysuria. For gonorrhoea such predictors were being Aboriginal, an STD contact, under 25, tattooed, having vaginal discharge or dysuria, and having had sex outside the state in the past three months. Selective screening criteria for gonorrhoea provided 91% of positives, eliminated the need for 42% of tests and resulted in an increased yield ratio of 1.5 whereas the corresponding outcomes for screening criteria for chlamydia were 91%, 29% and 1.3, respectively.
The diversity of STD epidemiology requires development of empirical screening guidelines for diverse settings. Standardisation of methodology to facilitate comparisons and extrapolation should include investigation of a wide range of variables, available before patient examination, by multivariate analysis, and choice of selective criteria to cover at least 90% of the infected population as well as resulting in a substantially increased yield (preferably an increased yield ratio of at least 1.5).
衣原体感染和淋病的预测指标可用于提高筛查项目的成本效益和可接受性,并有助于控制策略的精准实施。
1988年至1990年期间,所有前往性传播疾病诊所就诊的女性均接受衣原体和淋病筛查,利用多元逻辑回归分析将检测结果与一系列潜在预测指标进行关联分析。
在4822名就诊者中,5430人次接受了衣原体检测,其中3533人(73.3%),检测出阳性348人(6.4%);5450人次接受了淋病检测,其中3510人(72.8%),检测出阳性100人(1.0%)。衣原体感染的独立预测指标包括:有性传播疾病接触史、宫颈淋病、年龄小于25岁、无生殖器疱疹、为原住民、使用口服避孕药、无固定性伴侣以及有阴道分泌物或排尿困难。淋病的此类预测指标包括:为原住民、有性传播疾病接触史、年龄小于25岁、有纹身、有阴道分泌物或排尿困难以及在过去三个月内有州外性行为。淋病的选择性筛查标准可检测出91%的阳性病例,无需进行42%的检测,检测阳性率提高了1.5倍;而衣原体筛查标准的相应结果分别为91%、29%和1.3倍。
性传播疾病流行病学的多样性要求针对不同情况制定经验性筛查指南。为便于比较和推断而进行的方法标准化应包括通过多变量分析调查患者检查前可获得的广泛变量,并选择选择性标准以覆盖至少90%的感染人群,同时大幅提高检测阳性率(最好检测阳性率提高至少1.5倍)。