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[使用个人计算机程序计算父权可能性概率的算法研究,包括在减少方亲子鉴定中的应用]

[Investigation of algorithm for the calculation of probability of paternity likelihood using personal computer program, including the application to parentage testing in the decreased party].

作者信息

Akane A, Matsubara K, Shiono H

机构信息

Department of Legal Medicine, Shimane Medical University, Izumo, Japan.

出版信息

Nihon Hoigaku Zasshi. 1992 Aug;46(4):254-65.

PMID:1405018
Abstract

Algorithm for the computerized calculation of probability of paternity likelihood was investigated. The probability is calculated by Essen-Möller's formula as W = X/(X+Y) = 1/(1 + Y/X). The X value is also given as X = Hl, m, n/Kl, m, where kl, m and Hl, m, n are the probabilities of mother-child and mother-child-father combinations, respectively. In this study, four functions as F(PQ) = [1-(P not equal to Q)] x p x q, Z(RS) = (1- (R = S)), K(PQ,RS) = 1/2([(R = P) + (R = Q)].s + [(S = P) + (S = Q)].r).F (PQ)/Z(RS) and H(PQ, RS, TU) = 1/4([(R = P) + (R = Q)] [(S = T) + (S = U)] + [(S = P) + (S = Q)] [(R = T) + (R = U)]) x F(PQ).F(TU)/Z(RS) were created, where PQ, RS and TU were the genotypes of mother, child and the alleged father, P, Q, R, S, T and U were their alleles, and p, q, r, s, t and u were the allele frequencies. The equality or inequality in parenthesis was the relation operator which gave -1 or 0 when the expression was true of false, respectively. Then, three formulae as Y = n sigma k = l F([TU]k), Kl, m = 1 sigma i = l m sigma j = l K ([PQ]i, [RS]j) and Hl, m, n = l sigma i = l m sigma j = l n sigma k = l H([PQ]i, [RS]j, [TU]k) were obtained, where [PQ]i, [RS]j and [TU]k were one of the mother's, one of the child's and one of the putative father's genotypes considered from their phenotypes, respectively. Using these formulae, the probability of paternity likelihood could be calculated in every case. These formulae were programmed in BASIC language using a personal computer. Algorithm for the calculation of the probability in the deceased party was also investigated.

摘要

研究了用于计算机化计算父系可能性概率的算法。该概率通过埃森 - 默勒公式计算为W = X/(X + Y) = 1/(1 + Y/X)。X值也表示为X = Hl, m, n/Kl, m,其中kl, m和Hl, m, n分别是母子和母子 - 父亲组合的概率。在本研究中,创建了四个函数,分别为F(PQ) = [1 - (P不等于Q)]×p×q,Z(RS) = (1 - (R = S)),K(PQ, RS) = 1/2([(R = P) + (R = Q)].s + [(S = P) + (S = Q)].r).F (PQ)/Z(RS)以及H(PQ, RS, TU) = 1/4([(R = P) + (R = Q)] [(S = T) + (S = U)] + [(S = P) + (S = Q)] [(R = T) + (R = U)])×F(PQ).F(TU)/Z(RS),其中PQ、RS和TU分别是母亲、孩子和被指控父亲的基因型,P、Q、R、S、T和U是他们的等位基因,p、q、r、s、t和u是等位基因频率。括号中的等式或不等式是关系运算符,当表达式为真或假时分别给出 -1或0。然后,得到了三个公式,分别为Y = n sigma k = l F([TU]k),Kl, m = 1 sigma i = l m sigma j = l K ([PQ]i, [RS]j)以及Hl, m, n = l sigma i = l m sigma j = l n sigma k = l H([PQ]i, [RS]j, [TU]k),其中[PQ]i、[RS]j和[TU]k分别是从母亲、孩子和推定父亲的表型中考虑的一种基因型。使用这些公式,可以在每种情况下计算父系可能性概率。这些公式使用个人计算机用BASIC语言进行了编程。还研究了计算已故方概率的算法。

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