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流行病学研究中的抽样:沙特阿拉伯布鲁氏菌病患病率的案例研究。

Sampling in epidemiological research: a case study of the prevalence of brucellosis in Saudi Arabia.

作者信息

al-Sekait M A, Bamgboye E A, al-Nasser A N

机构信息

Department of Family and Community Medicine (34), College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

J R Soc Health. 1992 Aug;112(4):172-6. doi: 10.1177/146642409211200405.

Abstract

The superficial description in biomedical journals of sampling methods used in epidemiological studies of the prevalence of some diseases can be attributed to shallow knowledge of basic sampling techniques. The population of interest in most community surveys is usually very large and resources and time available limited, so that researchers have little or no choice but to study a sample of the population. One of the basic principles of sampling is the avoidance of bias, guaranteed by taking a random sample. But the term 'random sample' has often been misinterpreted as synonymous with 'haphazard sample', taking a sample without a definite pattern. It is re-emphasised that a random sample is a probability sample that gives every unit in the population a known probability of being selected in the sample. The procedures for taking a random sample for a nationwide study in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia are not easy because of the structure of the population, and therefore require more complex sampling methods like the stratified cluster sampling. It is also necessary in a stratified sample to calculate estimated persons affected by a condition for each selected subgroup of the population before obtaining the overall prevalence rate. A proper understanding and use of appropriate sampling techniques is most likely to result in the most desired representative sample, and guarantees that some underlying assumptions for inferential statistics will be satisfied.

摘要

生物医学期刊对某些疾病患病率流行病学研究中所采用抽样方法的肤浅描述,可归因于对基本抽样技术的了解不足。在大多数社区调查中,感兴趣的人群通常非常庞大,而可用的资源和时间有限,因此研究人员别无选择,只能研究该人群的一个样本。抽样的基本原则之一是避免偏差,这通过抽取随机样本得以保证。但“随机样本”一词常常被误解为与“随意样本”同义,即无确定模式地抽取样本。需要再次强调的是,随机样本是一种概率样本,它使总体中的每个单位都有已知的被选入样本的概率。由于沙特阿拉伯王国的人口结构,在该国进行全国性研究抽取随机样本的程序并不容易,因此需要更复杂的抽样方法,如分层整群抽样。在分层样本中,在获得总体患病率之前,还需要为总体中每个选定的子群体计算受某一状况影响的估计人数。正确理解和使用适当的抽样技术最有可能得到最理想的代表性样本,并确保满足推断统计学的一些基本假设。

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