Crawford Anne M, Pentz Mary Ann, Chou Chih-Ping, Li Chaoyang, Dwyer James H
Dept of Preventive Medicine, Institute for Health Promotion & Disease Prevention Research, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Psychol Addict Behav. 2003 Sep;17(3):179-92. doi: 10.1037/0893-164X.17.3.179.
This study applied piecewise latent growth modeling to longitudinal survey data from 2 different samples of adolescents (N=1,002 and N=1,206) to examine the hypothesis that development of sensation seeking in middle school would predict development of substance use (cigarettes, alcohol, and marijuana) in middle school and high school. Results showed that sensation seeking had strong predictive value for both concurrent and distal marijuana and alcohol use in both samples; however, initial level of sensation seeking predicted initial level of cigarette use during high school in 1 sample only. White participants scored consistently higher on both initial level and rate of increase in sensation seeking than did participants of other ethnicities. Advantages of this methodology are discussed in the context of substance use research.
本研究将分段潜在增长模型应用于来自两个不同青少年样本(N = 1,002和N = 1,206)的纵向调查数据,以检验以下假设:初中阶段寻求刺激的发展情况可预测初中和高中阶段物质使用(香烟、酒精和大麻)的发展情况。结果表明,在两个样本中,寻求刺激对同时期和远期的大麻及酒精使用均具有很强的预测价值;然而,仅在一个样本中,寻求刺激的初始水平可预测高中阶段香烟使用的初始水平。白人参与者在寻求刺激的初始水平和增长速度上的得分均始终高于其他种族的参与者。本文在物质使用研究的背景下讨论了该方法的优势。