Gillett Nathan P, Thompson David W J
School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, Post Office Box 3055, Victoria, BC V8W3P6, Canada.
Science. 2003 Oct 10;302(5643):273-5. doi: 10.1126/science.1087440.
Recent observations indicate that climate change over the high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere is dominated by a strengthening of the circumpolar westerly flow that extends from the surface to the stratosphere. Here we demonstrate that the seasonality, structure, and amplitude of the observed climate trends are simulated in a state-of-the-art atmospheric model run with high vertical resolution that is forced solely by prescribed stratospheric ozone depletion. The results provide evidence that anthropogenic emissions of ozonedepleting gases have had a distinct impact on climate not only at stratospheric levels but at Earth's surface as well.
最近的观测表明,南半球高纬度地区的气候变化主要是由从地表延伸至平流层的环极西风气流增强所主导。在此,我们证明,在一个仅由规定的平流层臭氧损耗强迫的、具有高垂直分辨率运行的先进大气模型中,模拟出了观测到的气候趋势的季节性、结构和幅度。这些结果提供了证据,表明消耗臭氧层气体的人为排放不仅对平流层水平的气候,而且对地球表面的气候都产生了显著影响。