Sergeant E S G, Marshall D J, Eamens G J, Kearns C, Whittington R J
AusVet Animal Health Services, 69 Turner Crescent, NSW 2800, Orange, Australia.
Prev Vet Med. 2003 Dec 12;61(4):235-48. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2003.08.010.
The sensitivities and specificities of an absorbed enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and an agar-gel immuno-diffusion (AGID) test for the detection of Johne's disease in sheep were estimated using data from six known infected and 12 assumed uninfected sheep flocks. Sensitivities were estimated for all histologically positive sheep, as well as by histological lesion score, lesion type (paucibacillary or multibacillary) and sheep body-condition score, with ELISA sensitivities estimated at 95 and 99% specificity. Logistic-regression analysis was used to test for significant effects of lesion score and condition score, with flock included in the model as a random effect. Estimated specificities were 95% (95% CI: 93.4, 95.6%) and 99% (98.4, 99.4%) for ELISA cut-point ratios of 2.4 and 3.6, respectively, and 100% (99.7, 100.0%) for the AGID. Estimated sensitivities for all infected sheep were 41.5% (35.0, 48.3%), 21.9% (16.6, 27.9%) and 24.6% (19.1, 30.7%) for ELISA cut-point ratios of 2.4 and 3.6 and for AGID, respectively. Sensitivities of all tests and cut-points varied significantly between flocks and between categories of lesion score and condition score. Sensitivity ranged from 25 to 73, 10 to 47 and 9.2 to 63% between flocks, for the ELISA with cut-points of 2.4 and 3.6, and for the AGID, respectively. Sensitivity was highest in thin sheep and in sheep with multibacillary lesions. The effects of lesion type and condition score on test sensitivity were significant in the logistic regressions for the AGID and ELISA at both cut-points and the flock effect was significant for the AGID but not for the ELISA at either cut-point.
利用来自6个已知感染和12个假定未感染绵羊群的数据,评估了用于检测绵羊副结核的吸收酶联免疫吸附测定(ELISA)和琼脂凝胶免疫扩散(AGID)试验的敏感性和特异性。对所有组织学阳性绵羊以及根据组织学病变评分、病变类型(少菌型或多菌型)和绵羊体况评分进行了敏感性评估,ELISA敏感性估计为95%,特异性为99%。采用逻辑回归分析来检验病变评分和体况评分的显著影响,将羊群作为随机效应纳入模型。ELISA截断比值分别为2.4和3.6时,估计特异性分别为95%(95%置信区间:93.4, 95.6%)和99%(98.4, 99.4%),AGID的估计特异性为100%(99.7, 100.0%)。ELISA截断比值为2.4和3.6以及AGID时,所有感染绵羊的估计敏感性分别为41.5%(35.0, 48.3%)、21.9%(16.6, 27.9%)和24.6%(19.1, 30.7%)。所有试验和截断点的敏感性在不同羊群之间以及病变评分和体况评分类别之间存在显著差异。ELISA截断点为2.4和3.6以及AGID时,不同羊群之间的敏感性范围分别为25%至73%、10%至47%和9.2%至63%。瘦羊和有多菌型病变的羊的敏感性最高。在AGID和ELISA的逻辑回归中,病变类型和体况评分对试验敏感性的影响在两个截断点均显著,AGID的羊群效应显著,而ELISA在任一截断点的羊群效应均不显著。