Okunade Albert A, Karakus Mustafa C
Department of Economics, 450 BB (FCBE), University of Memphis, Memphis, TN 38152, USA.
Health Care Manag Sci. 2003 Nov;6(4):237-48. doi: 10.1023/a:1026281608207.
Despite rapid advances in medicine and beneficial lifestyle changes, the incidence and mortality rate of gynecologic carcinoma remains high worldwide. This paper presents the econometric model findings of the major drivers of breast cancer mortality among US women. The results have implications for public health policy formulation on disease incidence and the drivers of mortality risks. The research methodology is a fixed-effects GLS regression model of breast cancer mortality in US females age 25 and above, using 1990-1997 time-series data pooled across 50 US states and DC. The covariates are age, years schooled, family income, 'screening' mammography, insurance coverage types, race, and US census region. The regressions have strong explanatory powers. Finding education and income to be significantly and positively correlated with mortality supports the 'life in the fast lanes' hypothesis of Phelps. The policy of raising a woman's education at a given income appears more beneficial than raising her income at a given education level. The relatively higher mortality rate for Blacks suggests implementing culturally appropriate set of disease prevention and health promotion programs and policies. Mortality differs across insurance types with Medicaid the worst suggesting need for program reform. Mortality is greater for women ages 25-44 years, females 40-49 years who have had screening mammography, smokers, and residents of some US states. These findings suggest imposing more effective tobacco use control policies (e.g., imposing a special tobacco tax on adult smokers), creating a more tractable screening mammography surveillance system, and designing region-specific programs to cut breast cancer mortality risks.
尽管医学取得了快速进展,生活方式也有了有益的改变,但妇科癌症的发病率和死亡率在全球范围内仍然很高。本文介绍了美国女性乳腺癌死亡率主要驱动因素的计量经济学模型研究结果。这些结果对疾病发病率及死亡风险驱动因素的公共卫生政策制定具有启示意义。研究方法是对25岁及以上美国女性的乳腺癌死亡率进行固定效应广义最小二乘回归模型分析,使用1990 - 1997年美国50个州和华盛顿特区的时间序列汇总数据。协变量包括年龄、受教育年限、家庭收入、乳腺钼靶“筛查”、保险覆盖类型、种族以及美国人口普查区域。这些回归具有很强的解释力。发现教育和收入与死亡率显著正相关,这支持了费尔普斯的“快车道生活”假说。在给定收入水平下提高女性教育水平的政策似乎比在给定教育水平下提高其收入更有益。黑人相对较高的死亡率表明需要实施一系列符合文化特点的疾病预防和健康促进计划及政策。不同保险类型的死亡率存在差异,医疗补助保险最差,这表明需要进行计划改革。25 - 44岁的女性、进行过乳腺钼靶筛查的40 - 49岁女性、吸烟者以及美国一些州的居民死亡率更高。这些发现表明应实施更有效的烟草使用控制政策(例如对成年吸烟者征收特别烟草税),建立一个更易于管理的乳腺钼靶筛查监测系统,并设计针对特定区域的计划以降低乳腺癌死亡风险。