Nivet H, Maingourd C, Mignon F
Service de néphrologie-immunologie clinique, CHU Bretonneau, Tours.
Nephrologie. 2003;24(8):431-6.
This survey was performed using data generated by a mailing sent with the collaboration of regional coordinators in 2002 to all the nephrologists identified in France. 1326 nephrologists were included in the pool, with an average of 22 nephrologists per million population (pmp), ranging from 14 to 29 pmp according to the different regions. Their mean (and median) age was 46.6 years, 30% were female. 63.5% of the nephrologists were working in a public hospital, 19.3% in private clinics, 13.3% in non-profit associations, 2% and 0.4% in research units or with industry, respectively. The data were used to generate a register of all the French nephrologists. 47 retirements per year are anticipated between 2010 and 2019, which yields an indication for the number of new nephrologists to be certified in this time-span. The gap between the future retirees and the newly trained nephrologists is very deep and cannot be bridged with the currently operating modes of recruitment. The increasing incidence and prevalence of patients with end stage renal failure will considerably increase the need of nephrologists, which is all the more amplified by the recent modification of the French law concerning the weekly upper limit of working time for physicians. Urgent measures have to be taken for preventing the consequences of dearth of nephrologists clearly anticipated for the next 10 years.
本调查使用了2002年与地区协调员合作发送邮件所产生的数据,对象为法国所有已确认的肾病学家。共有1326名肾病学家参与,平均每百万人口中有22名肾病学家(pmp),不同地区的这一数字在14至29 pmp之间。他们的平均(及中位数)年龄为46.6岁,30%为女性。63.5%的肾病学家在公立医院工作,19.3%在私人诊所,13.3%在非营利协会,分别有2%和0.4%在研究单位或与行业相关单位工作。这些数据用于生成所有法国肾病学家的登记册。预计2010年至2019年期间每年有47人退休,这为该时间段内需要认证的新肾病学家数量提供了一个指标。未来退休人员与新培训的肾病学家之间的差距非常大,目前的招聘模式无法弥合这一差距。终末期肾衰竭患者的发病率和患病率不断上升,将大幅增加对肾病学家的需求,而法国最近关于医生每周工作时间上限的法律修改更是加剧了这种需求。必须立即采取措施,以防止未来10年明显预计到的肾病学家短缺所带来的后果。