Gullberg R G, McElroy A J
Washington State Patrol, Breath Test Section, Seattle 98102.
Forensic Sci Int. 1992 Dec;57(2):193-201. doi: 10.1016/0379-0738(92)90013-m.
Driving while intoxicated (DWI) legislation requires proving the critical breath alcohol concentration (BrAC) at the time of driving. With time delayed analysis, retrograde extrapolation is occasionally employed but has several uncertainties associated with it. The present study attempts to address whether subjects actually arrested for DWI are likely to have BrAC values near the time of driving differing largely from those performed at a subsequent time. Selected officers arrested n = 161 subjects where roadside BrAC was determined with Pre-Arrest Breath Test (PBT) devices along with subsequent duplicate evidential analyses followed by an additional PBT analysis. These two sets of duplicates, one with large time interval (mean = 63.5 min.) and one with a 2-3 min difference, were then compared by several statistical methods. The results showing duplicate variability did not differ when the long time interval existed (F = 1.0, P > 0.05). A small but significant decrease in BrAC with respect to time appeared for the duplicate PBT data. Retrograde extrapolation applied to the data employing an assumed 0.015 g/210 l/h yielded a small but significant overestimate of the actual roadside PBT result. Finally, evidentiary analyses performed within 2 h of driving will provide good estimates and certainly not overestimates, of the BrAC existing at the time of driving and it appears that extrapolation may be unwarranted in these cases.
酒后驾车(DWI)法规要求证明驾驶时的临界呼气酒精浓度(BrAC)。对于延迟分析的情况,偶尔会采用逆向推断法,但该方法存在一些不确定性。本研究试图探讨实际因酒后驾车被捕的受试者在驾驶时的BrAC值与随后测量的BrAC值相比是否可能存在很大差异。选定的警官逮捕了n = 161名受试者,使用逮捕前呼气测试(PBT)设备在路边测定BrAC,随后进行重复的证据分析,接着再进行一次PBT分析。然后通过几种统计方法比较这两组重复测量结果,一组时间间隔较长(平均 = 63.5分钟),另一组相差2 - 3分钟。结果表明,当存在较长时间间隔时,重复测量的变异性没有差异(F = 1.0,P > 0.05)。重复的PBT数据显示BrAC随时间有小幅但显著的下降。对数据应用逆向推断法,假设每小时酒精消除率为0.015 g/210 l,得出的结果小幅但显著高估了实际路边PBT结果。最后,在驾驶后2小时内进行的证据分析将对驾驶时的BrAC提供良好的估计,且肯定不会高估,在这些情况下似乎无需进行推断。