Farchi G
Laboratorio di Epidemiologia e Biostatistica, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Roma.
Ann Ist Super Sanita. 1992;28(1):147-53.
In 1987, in Italy, 27,106 men and 4,159 women died from lung cancer or larynx cancer. Taking into consideration the smoking habits of the Italian population and the relative risks for pulmonary cancer, of smokers and ex-smokers versus nerve smokers, we estimate that 87% of deaths can be attributed to smoking. We know from previous studies that quitting smoking results in the reduction of the risk elapsed since quitting and that this reduction depends on the time and on the quantity of tobacco previously smoked before the cessation. We estimated the reduction in the number of deaths due to respiratory cancer if part of the population were to quit smoking. In males aged 35-74 years after 12 years, there would be 3,604 fewer deaths if 10% quit smoking and 11,915 fewer deaths if 100% quit smoking.
1987年，在意大利，27106名男性和4159名女性死于肺癌或喉癌。考虑到意大利人口的吸烟习惯以及吸烟者、已戒烟者与非吸烟者患肺癌的相对风险，我们估计87%的死亡可归因于吸烟。我们从先前的研究中了解到，戒烟会降低戒烟后经过的风险，而且这种降低取决于时间以及戒烟前先前吸烟的数量。我们估计，如果部分人群戒烟，呼吸道癌症死亡人数会减少。在35至74岁的男性中，12年后，如果10%的人戒烟，死亡人数将减少3604人；如果100%的人戒烟，死亡人数将减少11915人。
