Vik Jon Olav, Stenseth Nils Chr, Tavecchia Giacomo, Mysterud Atle, Lingjaerde Ole Chr
Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biology, University of Oslo, PO Box 1050 Blindern, 0316 Oslo, Norway.
Nature. 2004 Feb 19;427(6976):697-8; discussion 698. doi: 10.1038/427697a.
Theory indicates that correlated weather may synchronize populations, but the extent to which this holds for non-identical, nonlinear systems is uncertain. Post and Forchhammer claim to have shown climate-induced synchrony for musk oxen and caribou that are separated by the Greenland ice sheet. However, logical and mathematical errors undermine their finding. Whether or not large-scale weather can be a major synchronizing factor across species remains an open question.
理论表明,相关的天气可能会使种群同步,但对于非相同的非线性系统,这种情况成立的程度尚不确定。波斯特和福克哈默声称已经证明,被格陵兰冰盖分隔的麝牛和北美驯鹿存在气候诱导的同步现象。然而,逻辑和数学错误削弱了他们的发现。大规模天气是否能成为跨物种的主要同步因素仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。